Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.3%Penn State

87.7%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -13.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -713

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 69

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 82

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricNorthwestern

42.3MMH Power Index55.4

109.2Offensive Efficiency111.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency109.8

-8.4Net Efficiency1.8

5.3Strength of Schedule5.6

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

67.5Tempo65.6

53.4%Effective FG%51.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.0%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-5.7Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–42.3), offensive efficiency (111.6–109.2), defensive efficiency (109.8–117.6), net efficiency (1.8–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.4–51.9).

Final

Penn State

73—94

Northwestern

Northwestern by 21 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATNorthwestern

25-51FG38-63

49.0%FG%60.0%

6-183PT12-22

33.0%3PT%55.0%

17-20FT6-9

85.0%FT%67.0%

21Rebounds34

3Offensive Rebounds9

19Assists30

11Turnovers9

5Steals5

1Blocks3

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kayden Mingo	G	28	4-9	0-1	7-8	2	4	1	1	15
Ivan Juric	F	28	5-7	1-1	3-3	6	4	0	0	14
Josh Reed	F	31	4-10	0-4	3-4	3	0	1	0	11
Freddie Dilione V	G	26	4-9	0-2	3-3	4	4	0	0	11
Eli Rice	G	20	3-7	3-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Dominick Stewart	G	26	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Mason Blackwood	F	15	2-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	0	5
Justin Houser	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Melih Tunca	G	23	0-3	0-2	0-1	0	5	2	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	37	13-19	4-7	4-6	4	2	1	0	34
Angelo Ciaravino	G	26	9-12	2-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	20
Tre Singleton	F	36	7-10	1-2	2-3	18	4	1	2	17
Jake West	G	27	3-7	1-4	0-0	0	13	1	0	7
Jordan Clayton	G	20	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	6
Tyler Kropp	F	20	2-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	5
Max Green	G	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jayden Reid	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	6	1	0	2
Arrinten Page	F	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Phoenix Gill	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

107.5Offensive Efficiency138.4

138.4Defensive Efficiency107.5

-30.9Net Efficiency30.9

54.9%Effective FG%69.8%

60.3%True Shooting %69.9%

16.1%Turnover Rate13.4%

39.2%Free Throw Rate14.3%

35.3%3-Point Rate34.9%

1.73Assist / Turnover3.33

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.