North Dakota

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.1%North Dakota

90.9%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -15.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -999

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 70

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 86

Team Comparison

North DakotaMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

43.7MMH Power Index59.8

109.2Offensive Efficiency116.8

110.2Defensive Efficiency102.2

-1.0Net Efficiency14.6

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.6

-7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

70.1Tempo70.0

50.1%Effective FG%59.2%

14.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

37.5%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-0.7Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–43.7), offensive efficiency (116.8–109.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–110.2), net efficiency (14.6–-1.0).

North Dakota COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-3.6), offensive rebounding (28.9–22.1), free throw rate (37.5–35.2).

Final

North Dakota

81—80

St. Thomas-Minnesota

North Dakota by 1 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North DakotaTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

31-62FG28-57

50.0%FG%49.0%

9-263PT7-20

35.0%3PT%35.0%

10-15FT17-23

67.0%FT%74.0%

31Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists22

8Turnovers10

7Steals5

2Blocks2

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Garrett Anderson	G	28	8-19	4-10	0-0	1	3	0	0	20
Eli King	G	37	5-14	2-8	2-2	6	3	2	2	14
Zach Kraft	G	33	5-9	1-5	3-3	6	1	1	0	14
Greyson Uelmen	G	29	4-5	2-3	2-4	3	2	2	0	12
Josh Jones	C	22	2-2	0-0	2-4	2	2	1	0	6
Anthony Smith III	G	21	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
George Natsvlishvili	F	18	2-6	0-0	1-1	4	3	0	0	5
Reggie Thomas	G	10	2-2	0-0	0-1	1	2	1	0	4
Wylee Delorme	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Minessale	G	34	7-18	2-7	8-12	1	3	0	0	24
Nick Janowski	G	38	9-17	2-7	0-0	5	5	1	0	20
Austin Herro	G	29	3-3	1-1	4-5	8	6	2	0	11
Carter Bjerke	F	32	2-2	2-2	2-2	7	2	0	1	8
Ben Oosterbaan	F	17	4-6	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	26	1-5	0-0	3-4	5	1	2	0	5
Ryan Dufault	G	19	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	5	0	1	4
Jermaine Coleman	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

118.2Offensive Efficiency116.8

116.8Defensive Efficiency118.2

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

57.3%Effective FG%55.3%

58.6%True Shooting %58.9%

11.7%Turnover Rate14.5%

24.2%Free Throw Rate40.4%

41.9%3-Point Rate35.1%

2.13Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

North Dakota won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.