Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Georgia State

61.7%Louisiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisiana -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL139.2

MODEL MONEYLINELouisiana -161

Louisiana

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 68

Projected Total139.2

Projected ScoreLouisiana 71

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricLouisiana

38.9MMH Power Index38.6

101.3Offensive Efficiency99.3

107.5Defensive Efficiency110.2

-6.2Net Efficiency-10.9

-1.7Strength of Schedule1.5

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.0

69.5Tempo64.1

45.3%Effective FG%47.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

37.4%Free Throw Rate29.5%

-4.3Average Margin-7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Georgia State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.9–38.6), offensive efficiency (101.3–99.3), defensive efficiency (107.5–110.2), net efficiency (-6.2–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.7), recent form (-9.0–-10.9), shooting efficiency (47.1–45.3).

Final

Georgia State

72—82

Louisiana

Louisiana by 10 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATLouisiana

17-55FG28-56

31.0%FG%50.0%

5-223PT9-18

23.0%3PT%50.0%

33-35FT17-21

94.0%FT%81.0%

30Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds12

5Assists15

6Turnovers11

7Steals4

1Blocks4

17Fouls23

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malachi Brown	G	39	7-14	4-8	7-7	4	0	1	0	25
Jelani Hamilton	G	31	2-15	0-6	10-10	7	1	2	0	14
Jakai Newton	G	15	2-3	0-1	8-8	1	0	1	0	12
Joah Chappelle	F	33	4-10	0-1	2-2	8	0	2	1	10
Micah Tucker	G	31	1-6	1-5	4-6	3	3	1	0	7
Anthony Enoh	F	19	0-4	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Ayouba Berthe	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Trey Scott III	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Chris Jones	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
James Cooper	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Vion Lavergne	G	36	8-13	2-2	5-6	3	7	1	1	23
Dorian Finister	G	29	6-14	0-3	6-7	6	1	1	0	18
Karris Bilal	G	33	4-9	2-6	3-4	3	0	1	0	13
Jaxon Olvera	G	32	3-8	2-3	2-2	7	2	0	0	10
Dariyus Woodson	F	16	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Todd Jones Jr.	F	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	6
Kyran Ratliff	F	13	1-1	1-1	1-2	5	1	0	1	4
Mike Collins	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Milan Mejia	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Jeremiah Evans	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

111.1Offensive Efficiency126.5

126.5Defensive Efficiency111.1

-15.4Net Efficiency15.4

35.5%Effective FG%58.0%

50.3%True Shooting %62.1%

9.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

63.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%

40.0%3-Point Rate32.1%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Louisiana won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.