App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%App State

50.8%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -103

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 71

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 72

Team Comparison

App StateMetricSouthern Miss

54.2MMH Power Index49.9

110.9Offensive Efficiency106.1

101.7Defensive Efficiency104.9

9.2Net Efficiency1.2

-4.2Strength of Schedule-0.2

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

64.9Tempo70.4

51.1%Effective FG%49.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate18.4%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

39.8%Free Throw Rate43.9%

6.0Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–106.1), defensive efficiency (101.7–104.9), net efficiency (9.2–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-4.2), free throw rate (43.9–39.8).

Final

App State

70—63

Southern Miss

App State by 7 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATSouthern Miss

20-51FG21-58

39.0%FG%36.0%

8-173PT3-17

47.0%3PT%18.0%

22-29FT18-26

76.0%FT%69.0%

35Rebounds42

8Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists8

9Turnovers12

5Steals1

5Blocks2

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Tot	G	36	5-7	5-7	4-4	3	1	1	0	19
Kasen Jennings	G	35	4-12	2-4	8-8	7	2	2	0	18
Alonzo Dodd	G	38	3-13	0-2	6-8	7	1	1	1	12
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	26	4-9	1-3	1-2	6	1	0	0	10
Luke Wilson	C	20	2-6	0-0	2-5	6	0	0	1	6
Eren Banks	G	26	1-3	0-1	1-2	0	3	1	0	3
Chad Moodie	F	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	3	2
Jacari Brim	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylik Weeks	F	33	6-13	0-0	9-11	8	3	0	0	21
Israel Hart	G	31	5-11	3-7	1-2	5	2	0	0	14
Djahi Binet	F	28	4-8	0-0	3-3	12	1	0	1	11
Dylan Brumfield	G	36	3-10	0-1	3-8	7	2	0	0	9
Tegra Izay	C	12	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Brewer Carruth	G	13	1-6	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Curt Lewis	G	30	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Chiante' Tramble	G	15	0-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Felipe Patino	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

105.1Offensive Efficiency94.6

94.6Defensive Efficiency105.1

10.5Net Efficiency-10.5

47.1%Effective FG%38.8%

54.0%True Shooting %44.8%

13.7%Turnover Rate17.8%

56.9%Free Throw Rate44.8%

33.3%3-Point Rate29.3%

0.89Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

App State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.