Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.4%Little Rock

85.6%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -12.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -594

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 69

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreTennessee State 82

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricTennessee State

44MMH Power Index55.4

103.0Offensive Efficiency110.9

108.2Defensive Efficiency102.7

-5.2Net Efficiency8.2

0.5Strength of Schedule-3.1

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

68.5Tempo72.4

50.3%Effective FG%50.9%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

28.6%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-3.6Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.9–103.0), defensive efficiency (102.7–108.2), net efficiency (8.2–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.1).

Final

Little Rock

63—70

Tennessee State

Tennessee State by 7 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATTennessee State

24-67FG25-52

36.0%FG%48.0%

7-263PT6-18

27.0%3PT%33.0%

8-9FT14-23

89.0%FT%61.0%

38Rebounds38

14Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists17

13Turnovers14

9Steals7

3Blocks2

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Lawson	G	38	6-13	4-8	0-0	2	2	3	1	16
Braxton Bayless	G	37	5-16	1-5	2-2	5	3	2	0	13
Cameron Wallace	F	34	6-14	0-1	1-1	8	3	1	0	13
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	34	3-4	0-1	4-4	10	0	2	1	10
Kachi Nzeh	F	37	3-11	2-8	0-1	5	0	1	1	8
Truman Claytor IV	F	9	1-5	0-3	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	11	0-4	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	0

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aaron Nkrumah	G	36	5-12	2-5	10-12	8	6	5	0	22
Travis Harper II	G	31	7-11	2-5	0-0	8	3	0	0	16
Carlous Williams	F	23	5-7	1-2	3-4	0	0	0	0	14
Jalen Pitre	F	36	5-7	0-0	0-3	9	2	2	1	10
Dante Harris	G	34	2-8	0-2	1-2	4	6	0	0	5
Damon Howard Jr.	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Antoine Lorick III	F	18	0-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	1	0
Khalil London	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kavien Jones	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jabrion Spikes	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

91.2Offensive Efficiency101.3

101.3Defensive Efficiency91.2

-10.1Net Efficiency10.1

41.0%Effective FG%53.8%

44.2%True Shooting %55.6%

18.5%Turnover Rate20.6%

13.4%Free Throw Rate44.2%

38.8%3-Point Rate34.6%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.