Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.7%Cal Poly

25.3%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL165.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -295

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 86

Projected Total165.9

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 80

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricCal State Bakersfield

46.5MMH Power Index32.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

111.0Defensive Efficiency112.6

-3.8Net Efficiency-12.4

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

76.6Tempo73.0

52.2%Effective FG%46.4%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.6%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

35.8%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-2.9Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (111.0–112.6), net efficiency (-3.8–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHball security (18.6–19.8), offensive rebounding (30.2–29.9), free throw rate (43.8–35.8).

Final

Cal Poly

104—79

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal Poly by 25 • 77.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

36-65FG31-66

55.0%FG%47.0%

12-313PT10-24

39.0%3PT%42.0%

20-20FT7-14

100.0%FT%50.0%

38Rebounds29

14Offensive Rebounds14

24Assists14

19Turnovers17

10Steals8

4Blocks5

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Troy Plumtree	F	24	13-17	3-4	2-2	6	2	2	1	31
Hamad Mousa	G	28	3-10	3-8	6-6	4	1	1	0	15
Cayden Ward	G	28	4-6	1-3	3-3	3	2	1	0	12
Jackson Mosley	PG	16	3-6	1-4	4-4	2	2	0	0	11
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	19	4-4	1-1	1-1	4	1	3	0	10
Peter Bandelj	G	30	1-4	1-3	4-4	6	7	0	0	7
Guzman Vasilic	G	17	3-8	1-6	0-0	1	1	1	1	7
Austin Goode	F	17	2-6	1-2	0-0	3	2	1	1	5
Ali Assran	F	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Kieran Elliott	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jake Davis	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	5	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailin Smith	G	31	9-20	6-12	1-2	1	0	2	1	25
Mike Price	G	24	5-11	3-7	2-3	0	1	0	0	15
Ronald Jessamy	F	23	4-8	0-0	1-3	5	3	3	2	9
AJ George	G	32	4-9	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
Bentley Waller	G	14	4-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	8
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	19	2-3	0-0	0-2	9	1	0	1	4
Kadar Waller	G	30	0-3	0-1	3-4	1	5	0	0	3
Tom Mark	F	18	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	3
TJ James Jr.	G	5	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Dylan Purnell	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

77.6Possessions77.6

134.0Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency134.0

32.2Net Efficiency-32.2

64.6%Effective FG%54.5%

69.8%True Shooting %54.4%

23.9%Turnover Rate22.5%

30.8%Free Throw Rate21.2%

47.7%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.26Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 77.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.