UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%UC Santa Barbara

67.5%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -208

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 72

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 78

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricUC San Diego

51.4MMH Power Index53.4

113.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency100.7

7.1Net Efficiency7.7

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.3

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

68.5Tempo69.8

54.8%Effective FG%53.1%

18.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

37.9%Free Throw Rate33.2%

4.8Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–51.4), defensive efficiency (100.7–106.1), net efficiency (7.7–7.1), strength of schedule (-1.3–-2.0).

UC Santa Barbara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.2–108.4), shooting efficiency (54.8–53.1), offensive rebounding (32.5–26.9).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

62—48

UC San Diego

UC Santa Barbara by 14 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATUC San Diego

19-51FG18-50

37.0%FG%36.0%

10-263PT5-16

38.0%3PT%31.0%

14-20FT7-12

70.0%FT%58.0%

33Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists7

12Turnovers19

9Steals6

3Blocks1

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miro Little	G	35	3-12	1-5	8-13	8	2	1	0	15
Aidan Mahaney	G	37	4-9	2-4	0-0	2	3	3	0	10
CJ Shaw	G	26	4-7	2-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	10
Zion Sensley	G	23	3-9	2-6	2-2	7	1	0	1	10
Colin Smith	F	32	3-8	3-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	9
Marvin McGhee IV	G	11	1-2	0-1	4-5	2	1	0	0	6
Hosana Kitenge	F	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	2
Evans Kipruto	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	0
Michael Simcoe	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Koat Keat Tong	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bol Dengdit	F	26	6-9	2-3	1-2	6	0	0	0	15
Tom Beattie	G	36	4-11	0-4	2-2	3	2	3	0	10
Hudson Mayes	G	22	3-10	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	0	8
Alex Chaikin	G	33	2-3	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Jaden Vance	F	15	2-7	1-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	5
Leo Beath	F	28	1-6	0-2	2-4	8	1	1	1	4
Aidan Burke	G	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Trap Johnson	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Cade Pendleton	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

94.5Offensive Efficiency73.2

73.2Defensive Efficiency94.5

21.3Net Efficiency-21.3

47.1%Effective FG%41.0%

51.2%True Shooting %43.1%

18.3%Turnover Rate28.9%

39.2%Free Throw Rate24.0%

51.0%3-Point Rate32.0%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.37

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.