Siena

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.7%Siena

18.3%Niagara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSiena -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL134.2

MODEL MONEYLINESiena -446

Niagara

8-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSiena 71

Projected Total134.2

Projected ScoreNiagara 63

Team Comparison

SienaMetricNiagara

53.8MMH Power Index35.8

109.2Offensive Efficiency100.8

102.2Defensive Efficiency112.4

7.0Net Efficiency-11.6

-0.5Strength of Schedule-0.8

3.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.6

64.4Tempo63.4

50.7%Effective FG%50.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate18.8%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

34.9%Free Throw Rate27.3%

4.5Average Margin-7.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–35.8), offensive efficiency (109.2–100.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–112.4), net efficiency (7.0–-11.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (50.9–50.7).

Final

Siena

82—79

Niagara

Siena by 3 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SienaTEAM STATNiagara

28-46FG29-54

61.0%FG%54.0%

6-173PT14-26

35.0%3PT%54.0%

20-23FT7-13

87.0%FT%54.0%

25Rebounds23

4Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists21

10Turnovers10

4Steals7

2Blocks1

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justice Shoats	G	40	10-15	1-3	4-5	4	6	0	0	25
Gavin Doty	G	36	8-14	2-5	5-5	8	4	0	0	23
Francis Folefac	F	27	4-5	1-1	2-3	1	1	1	0	11
Christian Jones	G	27	2-4	2-4	2-2	0	1	0	0	8
Isaiah Henderson	F	15	1-2	0-1	5-6	2	0	0	0	7
Riley Mulvey	C	22	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	2	4
Antonio Chandler	F	9	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Brendan Coyle	F	24	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Sabino	G	22	7-8	4-5	1-2	4	1	0	0	19
Landon Williams	G	34	7-9	3-4	1-1	3	1	0	1	18
Justin Hawkins	F	38	6-12	2-3	2-3	5	8	2	0	16
Vice Zanki	F	34	6-12	4-7	0-0	5	1	1	0	16
Trenton Walters	G	27	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	7	2	0	3
Brian Griffith	G	6	1-3	0-1	1-3	0	1	0	0	3
Reggie Prudhomme	G	28	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	2	0	2
Will Shortt	F	11	0-2	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

130.0Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency130.0

4.8Net Efficiency-4.8

67.4%Effective FG%66.7%

72.0%True Shooting %65.6%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.8%

50.0%Free Throw Rate24.1%

37.0%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.30Assist / Turnover2.10

Game Summary

Siena won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.