Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.2%Providence

74.8%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -297

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 77

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreVillanova 86

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricVillanova

54.2MMH Power Index59.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency114.7

113.2Defensive Efficiency105.9

1.8Net Efficiency8.8

4.0Strength of Schedule4.4

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

74.2Tempo67.3

55.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate31.4%

1.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–54.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–113.2), net efficiency (8.8–1.8), strength of schedule (4.4–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.7), shooting efficiency (55.0–53.9), free throw rate (37.3–31.4).

Final

Providence

73—87

Villanova

Villanova by 14 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATVillanova

28-58FG30-59

48.0%FG%51.0%

8-233PT13-29

35.0%3PT%45.0%

9-14FT14-22

64.0%FT%64.0%

40Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists18

14Turnovers5

1Steals9

2Blocks4

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stefan Vaaks	G	33	10-18	5-11	0-0	1	4	0	0	25
Jaylin Sellers	G	29	7-14	1-5	1-2	3	0	0	0	16
Ryan Mela	G	32	5-9	0-1	4-5	7	2	1	0	14
Jamier Jones	F	28	2-4	0-0	3-4	4	2	0	0	7
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	30	2-5	0-0	0-1	12	0	0	1	4
Nilavan Daniels	G	22	1-4	1-3	1-2	4	1	0	0	4
Duncan Powell	F	20	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Cole Hargrove	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Peteris Pinnis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Askew	G	25	6-9	5-8	3-3	2	3	2	0	20
Tyler Perkins	G	31	6-11	3-6	4-7	6	0	0	0	19
Acaden Lewis	G	33	6-10	0-2	0-2	0	8	3	1	12
Bryce Lindsay	G	25	3-7	2-5	3-5	0	2	0	0	11
Matt Hodge	F	32	4-12	2-6	0-1	4	2	0	3	10
Duke Brennan	F	29	2-6	0-0	4-4	8	0	2	0	8
Malachi Palmer	G	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	2	2	0	5
Braden Pierce	C	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Chris Jeffrey	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

106.4Offensive Efficiency126.8

126.8Defensive Efficiency106.4

-20.4Net Efficiency20.4

55.2%Effective FG%61.9%

56.5%True Shooting %62.6%

20.7%Turnover Rate7.2%

24.1%Free Throw Rate37.3%

39.7%3-Point Rate49.2%

0.64Assist / Turnover3.60

Game Summary

Villanova won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.