Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%Northern Kentucky

47.1%Detroit Mercy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -112

Detroit Mercy

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 81

Projected Total161.3

Projected ScoreDetroit Mercy 80

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricDetroit Mercy

53.9MMH Power Index48.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency110.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency110.4

7.8Net Efficiency-0.2

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.9

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

72.3Tempo70.0

54.5%Effective FG%50.0%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %34.1%

37.1%Free Throw Rate35.1%

5.7Average Margin-0.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–48.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–110.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–110.4), net efficiency (7.8–-0.2).

Detroit Mercy COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.9–-2.9), ball security (16.1–16.3), offensive rebounding (34.1–33.0).

Final

Northern Kentucky

77—90

Detroit Mercy

Detroit Mercy by 13 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATDetroit Mercy

25-63FG30-54

40.0%FG%56.0%

10-373PT12-20

27.0%3PT%60.0%

17-27FT18-28

63.0%FT%64.0%

32Rebounds41

14Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists17

8Turnovers15

8Steals3

4Blocks3

25Fouls24

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Oday	G	39	11-19	5-11	6-8	5	2	1	0	33
Dan Gherezgher	G	34	7-14	5-10	1-1	6	4	1	0	20
LJ Wells	F	25	3-5	0-2	4-5	1	3	2	0	10
Tae Dozier	G	36	2-6	0-4	2-4	4	3	2	3	6
Shawn Nelson	G	25	2-5	0-2	0-2	7	0	2	0	4
Kael Robinson	F	26	0-14	0-8	3-4	7	0	0	1	3
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Ryan Tolliver	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryce Darbyshire	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Detroit Mercy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Spratt	G	36	8-10	8-10	4-7	6	6	0	0	28
Orlando Lovejoy	G	32	8-14	0-1	8-10	1	0	0	0	24
Lance Stone	G	31	6-10	4-6	0-0	2	4	0	0	16
Legend Geeter	F	30	5-10	0-1	2-3	10	6	0	1	12
Je'kel Cotton	G	22	1-6	0-2	2-4	9	0	1	1	4
Ryan Kalambay	F	18	1-1	0-0	1-3	8	1	1	1	3
Jared Lary	G	5	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	0	3
TJ Nadeau	G	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
London Maiden	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

109.1Offensive Efficiency127.5

127.5Defensive Efficiency109.1

-18.4Net Efficiency18.4

47.6%Effective FG%66.7%

50.8%True Shooting %66.9%

11.5%Turnover Rate21.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate51.9%

58.7%3-Point Rate37.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Detroit Mercy won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.