Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Pennsylvania

59.8%Columbia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColumbia -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEColumbia -149

Columbia

16-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 73

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreColumbia 78

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricColumbia

52.9MMH Power Index51.9

108.6Offensive Efficiency112.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency105.2

2.2Net Efficiency7.2

1.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.4

69.9Tempo68.2

50.9%Effective FG%54.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate19.1%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

36.3%Free Throw Rate28.8%

1.5Average Margin5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Columbia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColumbia holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.4–108.6), defensive efficiency (105.2–106.4), net efficiency (7.2–2.2), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.9).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.9–51.9), strength of schedule (1.9–-1.7), recent form (2.3–-2.4).

Final

Pennsylvania

67—72

Columbia

Columbia by 5 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATColumbia

26-63FG30-56

41.0%FG%54.0%

9-193PT8-17

47.0%3PT%47.0%

6-11FT4-6

55.0%FT%67.0%

29Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists22

8Turnovers18

7Steals4

2Blocks3

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Power	F	38	8-20	5-12	2-5	7	4	1	1	23
Michael Zanoni	F	35	6-14	3-6	0-0	3	2	1	0	15
Augustus Gerhart	F	26	4-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	8
Jay Jones	G	25	3-5	0-0	0-2	6	3	0	0	6
AJ Levine	G	24	1-5	0-0	4-4	0	1	2	0	6
Ethan Roberts	F	29	2-8	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Michelangelo Oberti	C	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Niklas Polonowski	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dalton Scantlebury	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Columbia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blair Thompson	F	37	7-11	2-5	0-0	3	3	2	1	16
Connor Igoe	F	22	5-9	1-2	4-5	10	5	0	0	15
Gerard O'Keefe	G	26	5-6	4-5	0-1	0	0	0	0	14
Mason Ritter	F	32	5-9	0-0	0-0	8	3	0	1	10
Ryan Soulis	F	20	4-6	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	8
Kenny Noland	G	35	3-10	1-4	0-0	9	8	1	0	7
Miles Franklin	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Hampton Sanders	G	19	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Richard Nweke	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.3Defensive Efficiency99.9

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

48.4%Effective FG%60.7%

49.1%True Shooting %61.2%

12.1%Turnover Rate26.5%

17.5%Free Throw Rate10.7%

30.2%3-Point Rate30.4%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Columbia won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.