Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Dayton

78.0%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -355

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 71

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 82

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricSaint Louis

59.9MMH Power Index66.7

108.5Offensive Efficiency120.8

101.5Defensive Efficiency97.6

7.0Net Efficiency23.2

5.7Strength of Schedule0.3

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

68.3Tempo72.2

52.0%Effective FG%59.9%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

47.6%Free Throw Rate33.9%

4.8Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (120.8–108.5), defensive efficiency (97.6–101.5), net efficiency (23.2–7.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–0.3), recent form (6.4–0.1), ball security (16.9–17.1).

Final

Dayton

71—102

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 31 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATSaint Louis

25-55FG35-56

45.0%FG%63.0%

7-203PT17-28

35.0%3PT%61.0%

14-16FT15-23

88.0%FT%65.0%

23Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists23

15Turnovers13

6Steals10

2Blocks—

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	31	7-12	3-4	6-6	3	1	2	0	23
Amaël L'Etang	F	18	4-6	0-0	4-4	6	2	2	2	12
Malcolm Thomas	F	14	4-7	1-4	2-4	2	1	0	0	11
Javon Bennett	G	35	3-12	1-6	2-2	3	5	1	0	9
Bryce Heard	G	28	3-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Jaiun Simon	F	8	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Damon Friery	F	9	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jordan Derkack	G	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Keonte Jones	G	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Jacob Conner	F	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trey Green	G	27	8-11	7-10	0-0	5	4	0	23
Quentin Jones	G	30	5-7	2-4	6-7	5	5	4	18
Ishan Sharma	F	21	6-8	6-8	0-0	0	0	1	18
Dion Brown	G	24	6-9	0-1	1-2	5	2	3	13
Amari McCottry	G	24	4-7	0-0	1-4	3	4	0	9
Paul Otieno	F	11	2-2	0-0	4-4	3	1	0	8
Robbie Avila	C	27	2-6	2-5	1-2	4	4	1	7
Kellen Thames	G	16	1-4	0-0	1-2	3	3	1	3
Jax Kerr	F	3	1-2	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	3
Brady Dunlap	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Cam Hutson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Holmes	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Schertz	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

97.5Offensive Efficiency140.1

140.1Defensive Efficiency97.5

-42.6Net Efficiency42.6

51.8%Effective FG%77.7%

56.7%True Shooting %76.2%

20.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

29.1%Free Throw Rate41.1%

36.4%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.77

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.