Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Boise State

63.2%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.5

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -172

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 72

Projected Total149.5

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 77

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricGrand Canyon

59.5MMH Power Index59.8

113.9Offensive Efficiency109.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency99.1

6.8Net Efficiency10.1

4.2Strength of Schedule2.0

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

68.6Tempo69.3

52.7%Effective FG%52.1%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.6%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

42.7%Free Throw Rate41.0%

4.7Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–109.2), strength of schedule (4.2–2.0), shooting efficiency (52.7–52.1), ball security (17.0–17.6).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.8–59.5), defensive efficiency (99.1–107.1), net efficiency (10.1–6.8).

Final

Boise State

69—86

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon by 17 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATGrand Canyon

21-53FG29-49

40.0%FG%59.0%

8-233PT9-15

35.0%3PT%60.0%

19-25FT19-23

76.0%FT%83.0%

28Rebounds26

10Offensive Rebounds2

15Assists15

11Turnovers9

4Steals6

—Blocks5

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Javan Buchanan	F	29	3-10	1-3	7-7	6	2	0	14
Dominic Parolin	F	17	5-6	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	11
Dylan Andrews	G	26	3-9	2-4	2-2	2	3	0	10
Spencer Ahrens	F	21	3-4	1-2	2-3	3	1	1	9
Drew Fielder	C	18	2-9	0-4	5-6	5	0	0	9
Andrew Meadow	F	29	3-4	2-2	0-3	3	2	1	8
RJ Keene II	G	23	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	2	1	3
Aginaldo Neto	G	14	0-4	0-1	3-4	1	3	0	3
Bhan Buom	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Pearson Carmichael	F	17	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Henley	G	36	7-12	1-3	5-7	5	6	0	2	20
Nana Owusu-Anane	F	38	5-7	4-5	2-2	7	0	0	2	16
Dusty Stromer	G	33	5-8	3-4	3-3	4	1	1	0	16
Efe Demirel	C	27	6-6	0-0	4-4	3	2	1	1	16
Makaih Williams	G	28	3-7	1-2	3-4	0	4	1	0	10
Brian Moore Jr.	G	23	2-7	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	0	4
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	11	1-2	0-1	2-3	3	1	1	0	4
Dennis Evans	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

103.9Offensive Efficiency129.5

129.5Defensive Efficiency103.9

-25.6Net Efficiency25.6

47.2%Effective FG%68.4%

53.2%True Shooting %71.8%

16.7%Turnover Rate13.4%

47.2%Free Throw Rate46.9%

43.4%3-Point Rate30.6%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.