Oregon State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.3%Oregon State

38.7%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOregon State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEOregon State -158

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon State 76

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreSan Diego 75

Team Comparison

Oregon StateMetricSan Diego

48.5MMH Power Index39.8

105.8Offensive Efficiency106.2

110.3Defensive Efficiency111.1

-4.5Net Efficiency-4.9

4.5Strength of Schedule-1.2

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

67.2Tempo70.1

50.6%Effective FG%52.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.8%

26.4%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

43.9%Free Throw Rate26.3%

-3.0Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Oregon State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOregon State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.5–39.8), defensive efficiency (110.3–111.1), net efficiency (-4.5–-4.9), strength of schedule (4.5–-1.2).

San Diego COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.2–105.8), shooting efficiency (52.0–50.6), offensive rebounding (29.1–26.4).

Final

Oregon State

78—76

San Diego

Oregon State by 2 • 81.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oregon StateTEAM STATSan Diego

25-62FG29-67

40.0%FG%43.0%

10-263PT9-29

38.0%3PT%31.0%

18-27FT9-12

67.0%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds42

8Offensive Rebounds12

21Assists16

16Turnovers20

10Steals12

5Blocks7

16Fouls23

Player Box Score

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johan Munch	F	35	5-10	0-0	5-8	9	2	2	1	15
Josiah Lake II	G	42	5-13	2-4	0-2	5	8	4	2	12
Dez White	G	34	4-9	4-7	0-0	1	1	2	0	12
Matija Samar	G	21	2-6	2-5	5-6	5	3	0	0	11
Isaiah Sy	F	31	2-8	2-6	3-3	6	5	0	0	9
Noah Amenhauser	C	10	1-2	0-0	5-6	2	0	0	1	7
Olavi Suutela	F	15	3-6	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Jorge Diaz Graham	F	23	2-5	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	1	4
Keziah Ekissi	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-2	1	0	0	0	2

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adrian McIntyre	G	29	7-12	2-5	5-6	6	6	2	0	21
Assane Diop	F	22	5-7	2-3	1-2	8	0	0	2	13
Tim Moore Jr.	F	26	5-8	1-2	0-0	7	0	2	5	11
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	29	4-13	0-2	1-2	2	7	3	0	9
Dominique Ford	G	26	2-4	0-1	2-2	3	0	1	0	6
Juanse Gorosito	G	22	2-6	2-6	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Toneari Lane	G	32	2-10	1-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	5
Vuk Boskovic	F	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Gavin Ripp	F	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Alejandro Aviles	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Emmanuel Callas	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.8Possessions81.8

95.4Offensive Efficiency92.9

92.9Defensive Efficiency95.4

2.4Net Efficiency-2.4

48.4%Effective FG%50.0%

52.1%True Shooting %52.3%

19.3%Turnover Rate24.8%

43.5%Free Throw Rate17.9%

41.9%3-Point Rate43.3%

1.31Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 81.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.