Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.6%Valparaiso

47.4%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -111

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 73

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreIndiana State 74

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricIndiana State

49.9MMH Power Index44.4

106.6Offensive Efficiency104.7

105.8Defensive Efficiency106.0

0.8Net Efficiency-1.3

0.3Strength of Schedule0.1

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.5Tempo70.3

48.7%Effective FG%53.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate19.5%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

40.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

0.5Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–44.4), offensive efficiency (106.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.0), net efficiency (0.8–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.6–48.7).

Final

Valparaiso

76—72

Indiana State

Valparaiso by 4 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATIndiana State

28-64FG27-59

44.0%FG%46.0%

3-143PT6-25

21.0%3PT%24.0%

17-26FT12-21

65.0%FT%57.0%

44Rebounds33

16Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists13

9Turnovers12

8Steals3

5Blocks5

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Pettigrew	F	35	7-13	0-1	3-4	9	0	1	1	17
Owen Dease	F	36	7-15	0-2	2-3	3	1	1	0	16
Carter Hopoi	F	25	5-8	1-2	3-6	7	0	0	0	14
Justus McNair	G	27	3-7	1-2	4-4	2	2	0	0	11
Rakim Chaney	G	29	3-8	0-3	4-4	3	2	3	1	10
Shon Tupuola	C	16	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Brody Whitaker	G	36	1-7	1-4	0-0	6	4	1	0	3
Tucker Tornatta	C	6	0-1	0-0	1-5	3	0	0	1	1
Isaiah Barnes	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	0
Sader Servilus	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyonte Thomas	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derek Vorst	C	31	5-7	0-0	4-6	3	0	1	2	14
Camp Wagner	G	35	4-13	1-8	2-2	3	1	1	1	11
Xavier Hall	G	33	5-6	1-2	0-0	5	3	1	0	11
Sterling Young	G	29	3-13	2-9	0-0	0	5	0	0	8
Ian Scott	F	25	3-4	0-0	2-6	2	0	0	1	8
Bruno Alocen	G	19	2-5	2-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Enel St. Bernard	F	21	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	6
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	20	2-5	0-2	2-3	3	3	0	0	6
Markus Harding	C	12	0-1	0-1	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

106.7Offensive Efficiency101.1

101.1Defensive Efficiency106.7

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

46.1%Effective FG%50.8%

49.8%True Shooting %52.2%

13.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

40.6%Free Throw Rate35.6%

21.9%3-Point Rate42.4%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.