San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%San Diego State

75.6%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -310

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 73

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricUtah State

60.1MMH Power Index65.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency119.7

99.3Defensive Efficiency103.1

11.0Net Efficiency16.6

3.8Strength of Schedule3.5

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

70.8Tempo68.6

53.2%Effective FG%56.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

7.8Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.3), net efficiency (16.6–11.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–53.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–103.1), strength of schedule (3.8–3.5), recent form (0.4–0.3).

Final

San Diego State

66—71

Utah State

Utah State by 5 • 75.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATUtah State

23-57FG26-64

40.0%FG%41.0%

6-243PT6-26

25.0%3PT%23.0%

14-18FT13-23

78.0%FT%57.0%

31Rebounds46

6Offensive Rebounds15

11Assists15

13Turnovers18

10Steals9

4Blocks3

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	33	6-12	3-8	4-4	3	0	1	0	19
Tae Simmons	F	21	2-3	0-1	5-7	3	0	3	0	9
BJ Davis	G	22	3-12	0-3	2-2	5	0	1	0	8
Jeremiah Oden	F	17	3-6	2-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	8
Miles Byrd	G	29	3-12	1-6	0-0	3	2	2	3	7
Taj DeGourville	G	24	2-4	0-1	1-2	4	4	1	0	5
Miles Heide	F	21	1-2	0-0	2-3	4	0	1	0	4
Pharaoh Compton	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Sean Newman Jr.	G	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	5	0	0	2

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Karson Templin	F	29	7-10	2-3	2-4	7	1	2	2	18
Adlan Elamin	F	34	5-12	2-5	1-2	8	3	2	0	13
MJ Collins Jr.	G	35	3-14	2-9	4-5	5	2	0	0	12
Drake Allen	G	27	3-8	0-3	3-5	4	4	4	0	9
Mason Falslev	G	33	3-7	0-2	2-2	6	3	1	0	8
Elijah Perryman	G	13	3-7	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Zach Keller	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Garry Clark	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	2
Kolby King	G	12	0-3	0-2	1-3	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

75.3Possessions75.3

87.6Offensive Efficiency94.3

94.3Defensive Efficiency87.6

-6.6Net Efficiency6.6

45.6%Effective FG%45.3%

50.3%True Shooting %47.4%

17.9%Turnover Rate23.1%

31.6%Free Throw Rate35.9%

42.1%3-Point Rate40.6%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Utah State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 75.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.