Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%Lafayette

81.3%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -435

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 67

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreAmerican University 78

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricAmerican University

39.6MMH Power Index48.2

102.9Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.3Defensive Efficiency105.8

-7.4Net Efficiency4.8

-1.4Strength of Schedule-4.3

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

67.5Tempo67.5

49.4%Effective FG%52.6%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.7%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

33.0%Free Throw Rate30.1%

-5.0Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–39.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–102.9), defensive efficiency (105.8–110.3), net efficiency (4.8–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-4.3), ball security (15.4–15.7), free throw rate (33.0–30.1).

Final

Lafayette

67—65

American University

Lafayette by 2 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATAmerican University

24-56FG24-58

43.0%FG%41.0%

8-273PT6-27

30.0%3PT%22.0%

11-19FT11-15

58.0%FT%73.0%

36Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists13

11Turnovers11

7Steals8

4Blocks4

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Phillips	G	36	9-12	5-7	0-0	5	1	4	0	23
Caleb Williams	G	35	6-16	2-9	2-2	3	4	0	0	16
Mark Butler	G	37	2-5	1-1	6-10	4	4	0	0	11
Shareef Jackson	F	21	3-7	0-0	2-5	4	0	0	3	8
Christian Humphrey-Rembert	F	32	3-7	0-4	0-0	9	1	1	1	6
Ryan Pettit	G	22	1-3	0-2	1-2	0	3	2	0	3
KaiMani Murdock	G	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Joshua Wyche	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Bevilacqua	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Misha Bednostin	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julen Iturbe	F	24	5-10	1-5	1-2	6	0	1	0	12
Matt Mayock	F	33	3-7	1-3	4-4	3	2	1	0	11
Madden Collins	G	26	5-11	0-1	1-3	7	4	0	2	11
Greg Jones	F	15	3-5	2-3	2-2	1	2	0	0	10
Wyatt Nausadis	G	24	3-7	0-3	2-2	2	0	3	0	8
Geoff Sprouse	G	31	2-8	1-6	0-0	2	3	2	1	5
Kade Sebastian	G	22	1-4	1-2	1-2	4	2	1	1	4
Dean Hogans	G	10	2-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Chris Eagan	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Brown	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

105.3Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency105.3

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

50.0%Effective FG%46.6%

51.5%True Shooting %49.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.4%

33.9%Free Throw Rate25.9%

48.2%3-Point Rate46.6%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.