Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.1%Mercyhurst

36.9%Chicago State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL138.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -171

Chicago State

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 71

Projected Total138.6

Projected ScoreChicago State 67

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricChicago State

45.5MMH Power Index36.1

105.2Offensive Efficiency99.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency114.9

3.0Net Efficiency-15.5

-5.7Strength of Schedule0.5

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

65.9Tempo66.2

50.5%Effective FG%45.6%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

25.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

2.0Average Margin-10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–36.1), offensive efficiency (105.2–99.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–114.9), net efficiency (3.0–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-5.7), offensive rebounding (29.1–26.8), free throw rate (30.7–25.4).

Final

Mercyhurst

74—78

Chicago State

Chicago State by 4 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATChicago State

29-60FG25-56

48.0%FG%45.0%

6-223PT9-21

27.0%3PT%43.0%

10-14FT19-30

71.0%FT%63.0%

34Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds13

20Assists18

10Turnovers10

7Steals4

3Blocks2

24Fouls18

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Lemelman	G	34	9-15	2-5	1-2	2	7	2	0	21
Qadir Martin	F	33	8-10	0-0	3-4	8	0	1	3	19
Bernie Blunt III	G	29	2-9	1-7	4-6	2	8	1	0	9
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	23	4-6	0-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	8
Kaden Fuhrmann	G	12	2-6	2-6	0-0	0	2	1	0	6
Christian Gamble	G	27	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	15	1-5	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	0	4
James Thomas	F	9	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Sean Lang	G	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cameron Johnson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Ray	F	38	13-20	4-5	7-8	10	1	2	0	37
Marcus Tankersley	G	32	5-8	2-2	6-10	2	3	0	1	18
Doyel Cockrill III	G	25	2-11	1-8	4-6	1	4	1	0	9
Chauncey Gibson	G	17	2-4	1-3	2-4	7	2	0	0	7
Corey Sands	G	20	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Joseph Owens	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0	2
Dailliss Cox	F	24	0-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	0
Malek Robinson	G	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	1	0
Braelon Bush	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	5	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

111.3Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency111.3

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

53.3%Effective FG%52.7%

55.5%True Shooting %55.5%

15.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

23.3%Free Throw Rate53.6%

36.7%3-Point Rate37.5%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Chicago State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.