Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Ohio

66.8%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -201

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 77

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreBuffalo 82

Team Comparison

OhioMetricBuffalo

48MMH Power Index49.7

109.7Offensive Efficiency114.9

110.7Defensive Efficiency112.2

-1.0Net Efficiency2.7

-0.1Strength of Schedule0.0

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

71.0Tempo67.9

52.0%Effective FG%56.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

37.8%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-0.7Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–48.0), offensive efficiency (114.9–109.7), net efficiency (2.7–-1.0), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.1).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.7–112.2), recent form (-1.0–-5.9), ball security (15.3–16.1).

Final

Ohio

95—83

Buffalo

Ohio by 12 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATBuffalo

35-66FG29-52

53.0%FG%56.0%

5-193PT6-14

26.0%3PT%43.0%

20-26FT19-27

77.0%FT%70.0%

34Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds6

19Assists15

6Turnovers13

7Steals3

—Blocks2

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Javan Simmons	F	34	10-16	0-0	4-7	13	1	1	24
Aidan Hadaway	F	29	9-11	1-1	0-1	9	3	2	19
JJ Kelly	G	37	6-13	2-7	3-3	3	0	0	17
Jackson Paveletzke	G	36	3-9	0-2	10-11	4	11	1	16
Ajay Sheldon	G	34	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	3	3	8
Kiir Kuany	F	11	2-5	0-1	1-1	3	0	0	5
Jesse Burris	G	9	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	2
Jalen Breath	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Dior Conners	G	3	0-0	0-0	2-3	0	1	0	2

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Freitag	G	31	6-12	2-5	11-14	1	4	0	0	25
Ryan Sabol	G	38	8-15	3-6	3-5	6	5	0	0	22
Angelo Brizzi	G	36	5-9	0-2	5-6	3	1	2	1	15
Tim Oboh	C	17	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	6
Ezra McKenna	F	17	3-5	0-0	0-2	6	1	0	0	6
Mikhail Pocknett	F	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Noah Batchelor	G	24	1-2	1-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	3
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	24	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Kyle Jones	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

132.7Offensive Efficiency115.9

115.9Defensive Efficiency132.7

16.8Net Efficiency-16.8

56.8%Effective FG%61.5%

60.6%True Shooting %64.0%

8.4%Turnover Rate18.1%

39.4%Free Throw Rate51.9%

28.8%3-Point Rate26.9%

3.17Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Ohio won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.