Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Jacksonville State

62.2%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL145.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -165

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 71

Projected Total145.6

Projected ScoreMissouri State 74

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricMissouri State

51.2MMH Power Index51.1

108.2Offensive Efficiency110.5

101.8Defensive Efficiency108.4

6.4Net Efficiency2.1

-2.3Strength of Schedule0.5

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

67.2Tempo67.9

51.0%Effective FG%51.8%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

44.5%Free Throw Rate42.9%

4.3Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–51.1), defensive efficiency (101.8–108.4), net efficiency (6.4–2.1), recent form (-0.3–-2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–108.2), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.3), shooting efficiency (51.8–51.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

67—74

Missouri State

Missouri State by 7 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATMissouri State

22-54FG27-58

41.0%FG%47.0%

2-143PT8-24

14.0%3PT%33.0%

21-27FT12-21

78.0%FT%57.0%

38Rebounds28

16Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists16

18Turnovers12

6Steals10

2Blocks3

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacoby Hill	G	37	6-13	0-3	4-4	3	1	2	0	16
Iaroslav Niagu	F	29	5-9	0-0	3-4	5	1	1	1	13
Jaye Nash	G	29	2-6	0-3	8-9	3	2	1	0	12
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	33	3-8	0-1	3-6	9	2	2	0	9
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	14	4-8	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
AC Bryant	G	22	2-7	1-4	2-2	4	0	0	0	7
Toby Nnadozie	G	20	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Jamar Franklin	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Thomas Tut	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keith Palek III	F	38	6-14	1-4	5-6	4	6	1	0	18
Trey Williams Jr.	G	29	4-8	3-6	3-5	0	3	0	0	14
Kobi Williams	G	36	5-11	2-5	1-2	1	1	0	0	13
Antwan Burnett	G	31	4-7	2-4	1-1	4	3	2	0	11
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	24	4-8	0-0	2-7	9	2	1	1	10
Darrion Sutton	F	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	2	4
Zaxton King	G	21	1-6	0-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Cameron Boone	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Logan Epes	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

98.0Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency98.0

-10.2Net Efficiency10.2

42.6%Effective FG%53.4%

50.1%True Shooting %54.4%

26.2%Turnover Rate17.7%

50.0%Free Throw Rate36.2%

25.9%3-Point Rate41.4%

0.39Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.