Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.9%Mississippi State

87.1%Missouri

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri -13.0

PROJECTED TOTAL160.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri -675

Missouri

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 74

Projected Total160.9

Projected ScoreMissouri 87

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricMissouri

44.6MMH Power Index57.2

107.4Offensive Efficiency115.1

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.7

-5.8Net Efficiency5.4

5.0Strength of Schedule5.0

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

72.3Tempo68.8

51.6%Effective FG%55.2%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.8%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

30.9%Free Throw Rate43.1%

-4.2Average Margin3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.2–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.1–107.4), defensive efficiency (109.7–113.2), net efficiency (5.4–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–17.8).

Final

Mississippi State

79—84

Missouri

Missouri by 5 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATMissouri

28-65FG25-58

43.0%FG%43.0%

11-283PT9-26

39.0%3PT%35.0%

12-18FT25-33

67.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds36

13Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists15

14Turnovers10

6Steals4

3Blocks7

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Epps	G	29	9-20	3-8	2-2	2	4	0	0	23
Josh Hubbard	G	32	7-20	4-12	4-6	6	2	3	0	22
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	15	2-2	2-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	8
King Grace	G	19	3-6	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	24	2-6	1-3	1-2	1	3	1	0	6
Achor Achor	F	15	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Sergej Macura	F	21	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	29	1-2	0-0	0-2	8	0	1	3	2
Quincy Ballard	C	16	0-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	0	2

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	36	5-14	1-4	8-12	7	4	0	1	19
T.O. Barrett	G	30	3-11	2-4	8-8	8	4	1	1	16
Trent Pierce	G	30	5-8	3-6	0-0	3	1	2	1	13
Jayden Stone	G	33	3-8	1-5	4-5	2	3	0	0	11
Anthony Robinson II	G	23	2-7	0-4	5-8	2	2	1	1	9
Jacob Crews	G	20	3-4	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	6
Annor Boateng	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Nicholas Randall	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Trent Burns	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

107.9Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency107.9

-6.8Net Efficiency6.8

51.5%Effective FG%50.9%

53.7%True Shooting %57.0%

18.8%Turnover Rate14.0%

27.7%Free Throw Rate56.9%

43.1%3-Point Rate44.8%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Missouri won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.