California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%California

81.9%Miami

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -452

Miami

26-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 72

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreMiami 83

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricMiami

56.5MMH Power Index65.5

111.8Offensive Efficiency117.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency103.0

7.0Net Efficiency14.8

2.8Strength of Schedule3.6

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.6

69.9Tempo69.2

52.6%Effective FG%55.5%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.2%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

4.9Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–56.5), offensive efficiency (117.8–111.8), defensive efficiency (103.0–104.8), net efficiency (14.8–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–16.2).

Final

California

86—85

Miami

California by 1 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATMiami

26-53FG29-51

49.0%FG%57.0%

10-233PT4-12

43.0%3PT%33.0%

24-32FT23-33

75.0%FT%70.0%

28Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists14

7Turnovers7

4Steals3

3Blocks4

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Camden	F	34	7-10	4-5	8-9	2	1	2	0	26
Justin Pippen	G	34	6-13	1-4	4-6	4	8	1	1	17
Chris Bell	F	29	4-8	2-5	6-6	3	0	0	0	16
Dai Dai Ames	G	28	4-13	1-5	5-6	2	2	1	0	14
Semetri Carr	G	18	1-3	0-0	1-3	1	2	0	0	3
DeJuan Campbell	G	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Mantas Kocanas	C	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Milos Ilic	C	24	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Nolan Dorsey	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-2	2	0	0	0	0

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Reneau	F	30	6-8	0-1	12-14	6	2	0	1	24
Shelton Henderson	F	33	7-11	0-0	2-3	5	1	1	0	16
Tre Donaldson	G	39	5-11	2-4	2-3	5	5	1	0	14
Dante Allen	G	35	4-7	2-3	2-6	5	3	0	1	12
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	24	4-5	0-0	4-6	7	1	0	1	12
Timotej Malovec	F	22	2-6	0-3	1-1	0	2	1	0	5
Salih Altuntas	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Noam Dovrat	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

127.4Offensive Efficiency125.9

125.9Defensive Efficiency127.4

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

58.5%Effective FG%60.8%

63.0%True Shooting %63.7%

10.3%Turnover Rate10.5%

60.4%Free Throw Rate64.7%

43.4%3-Point Rate23.5%

2.29Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

California won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.