Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.0%Georgia State

87.0%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -669

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 66

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 79

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricSouth Alabama

38.9MMH Power Index51.4

101.3Offensive Efficiency110.3

107.5Defensive Efficiency103.9

-6.2Net Efficiency6.4

-1.7Strength of Schedule-3.7

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.5Tempo67.4

45.3%Effective FG%53.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate12.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

37.4%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-4.3Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–38.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–101.3), defensive efficiency (103.9–107.5), net efficiency (6.4–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-3.7), offensive rebounding (28.2–24.9).

Final

Georgia State

67—69

South Alabama

South Alabama by 2 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATSouth Alabama

21-60FG28-54

35.0%FG%52.0%

15-423PT3-16

36.0%3PT%19.0%

10-15FT10-19

67.0%FT%53.0%

37Rebounds33

16Offensive Rebounds9

19Assists13

10Turnovers5

3Steals6

3Blocks2

15Fouls10

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malachi Brown	G	38	7-17	7-16	0-0	9	4	1	0	21
Jelani Hamilton	G	37	3-14	3-13	3-5	5	6	0	0	12
Trey Scott III	F	24	4-7	2-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	10
Micah Tucker	G	28	2-7	1-4	3-4	2	5	0	0	8
Joah Chappelle	F	26	2-5	0-2	4-6	7	1	1	3	8
Ayouba Berthe	G	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Jakai Newton	G	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Anthony Enoh	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Christian Beam	C	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaze Harris	G	29	6-11	0-0	3-6	4	6	1	1	15
Jayden Cooper	G	34	5-11	1-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	11
Adam Olsen	F	38	4-10	2-6	0-0	11	1	1	0	10
Stephen Williams	F	17	4-5	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	9
JJ Wheat	G	17	3-6	0-1	3-7	2	0	2	0	9
Randy Brady	F	23	3-3	0-0	1-2	2	3	1	0	7
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	31	2-6	0-3	2-2	5	1	0	1	6
John Broom	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

111.5Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency111.5

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

47.5%Effective FG%54.6%

49.9%True Shooting %54.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate8.5%

25.0%Free Throw Rate35.2%

70.0%3-Point Rate29.6%

1.90Assist / Turnover2.60

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.