Southern Utah

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Southern Utah

67.0%Abilene Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAbilene Christian -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAbilene Christian -203

Abilene Christian

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 73

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 78

Team Comparison

Southern UtahMetricAbilene Christian

40.6MMH Power Index42.4

105.6Offensive Efficiency101.1

110.0Defensive Efficiency104.1

-4.4Net Efficiency-3.0

-3.0Strength of Schedule-1.4

-3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

72.3Tempo69.6

52.6%Effective FG%48.9%

19.6%Turnover Rate20.6%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

34.4%Free Throw Rate42.0%

-3.2Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Abilene Christian HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAbilene Christian holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.4–40.6), defensive efficiency (104.1–110.0), net efficiency (-3.0–-4.4), strength of schedule (-1.4–-3.0).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.6–101.1), recent form (-3.3–-5.3), shooting efficiency (52.6–48.9).

Final

Southern Utah

79—76

Abilene Christian

Southern Utah by 3 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern UtahTEAM STATAbilene Christian

29-43FG31-60

67.0%FG%52.0%

3-63PT8-23

50.0%3PT%35.0%

18-21FT6-12

86.0%FT%50.0%

31Rebounds17

6Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists16

22Turnovers9

2Steals12

1Blocks3

11Fouls17

Player Box Score

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Duval	G	38	11-13	1-1	4-5	7	3	0	0	27
Jaiden Feroah	F	30	8-8	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	1	16
Isaiah Cottrell	F	28	4-10	0-0	6-6	4	3	0	0	14
Tanner Hayhurst	G	36	3-5	2-4	3-4	2	2	1	0	11
Cale Barclay	F	14	2-2	0-0	5-6	3	0	0	0	9
Dylan Jones	G	34	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Kai Burdick	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Lee	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lorenzo Abellar	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rich Smith	G	32	8-12	0-1	2-5	3	5	2	0	18
Cbo Newton	G	33	7-13	2-5	1-2	2	1	0	0	17
Bradyn Hubbard	F	23	5-12	2-5	0-0	1	0	2	0	12
Christian Alston	G	11	3-3	2-2	0-0	0	1	1	2	8
Yaniel Rivera	G	25	2-12	2-9	0-0	1	5	1	0	6
Ma'Shy Hill	F	19	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	6
Cade Hornecker	F	18	2-3	0-1	1-2	3	1	2	0	5
Joseph Venzant	G	33	1-1	0-0	2-3	0	3	4	0	4
Zy Wright	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joseph Scott	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

115.5Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency115.5

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

70.9%Effective FG%58.3%

74.6%True Shooting %57.8%

31.9%Turnover Rate13.3%

48.8%Free Throw Rate20.0%

14.0%3-Point Rate38.3%

0.41Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Southern Utah won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.