UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.5%UC Davis

21.5%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -365

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 82

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 75

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal State Bakersfield

48.4MMH Power Index32.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

103.7Defensive Efficiency112.6

3.5Net Efficiency-12.4

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

72.4Tempo73.0

52.3%Effective FG%46.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

41.5%Free Throw Rate43.8%

2.5Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (103.7–112.6), net efficiency (3.5–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-1.9), offensive rebounding (30.2–26.7), free throw rate (43.8–41.5).

Final

UC Davis

80—72

Cal State Bakersfield

UC Davis by 8 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

24-54FG26-54

44.0%FG%48.0%

7-223PT6-16

32.0%3PT%38.0%

25-31FT14-20

81.0%FT%70.0%

31Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists13

10Turnovers15

9Steals7

2Blocks2

18Fouls24

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Sevilla	G	35	5-9	3-6	9-9	4	1	1	1	22
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	36	5-12	2-4	3-3	4	1	0	0	15
Jalen Stokes	G	24	3-6	0-1	7-8	5	1	1	0	13
Niko Rocak	F	29	3-6	1-2	2-4	5	1	1	1	9
Nils Cooper	G	13	2-4	0-1	4-5	3	0	1	0	8
Marcus Wilson	G	25	2-7	0-2	0-0	3	5	5	0	4
Omer Suljanovic	F	9	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Isaiah Chappell	F	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Brayden Fagbemi	G	18	1-2	0-1	0-2	1	1	0	0	2

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mike Price	G	30	9-14	4-6	2-2	2	0	1	0	24
Dailin Smith	G	29	5-11	1-4	8-10	2	1	2	0	19
AJ George	G	33	3-7	0-3	2-2	6	3	0	0	8
Ronald Jessamy	F	24	3-8	0-0	2-2	2	3	0	1	8
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	30	3-4	0-0	0-4	9	0	1	1	6
Bentley Waller	G	12	2-5	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Kadar Waller	G	28	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	6	2	0	2
Tom Mark	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

114.9Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency114.9

11.5Net Efficiency-11.5

50.9%Effective FG%53.7%

58.2%True Shooting %56.7%

14.6%Turnover Rate21.3%

57.4%Free Throw Rate37.0%

40.7%3-Point Rate29.6%

1.10Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.