Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%Old Dominion

68.0%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -212

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 72

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreTexas State 79

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricTexas State

47.2MMH Power Index49.4

107.4Offensive Efficiency107.7

109.8Defensive Efficiency103.4

-2.4Net Efficiency4.3

-0.1Strength of Schedule-4.7

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.9Tempo68.6

50.9%Effective FG%51.3%

15.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-1.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–47.2), offensive efficiency (107.7–107.4), defensive efficiency (103.4–109.8), net efficiency (4.3–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-4.7), ball security (15.4–18.4).

Final

Old Dominion

64—81

Texas State

Texas State by 17 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATTexas State

20-61FG27-59

33.0%FG%46.0%

6-273PT7-16

22.0%3PT%44.0%

18-22FT20-25

82.0%FT%80.0%

38Rebounds41

15Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists17

14Turnovers8

6Steals10

5Blocks4

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KC Shaw	G	38	8-15	0-0	4-6	11	1	1	1	20
Jordan Battle	G	37	5-16	5-12	1-2	3	1	1	0	16
Jared Turner	F	18	2-8	1-7	2-2	3	2	0	2	7
Zacch Wiggins	G	18	2-6	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	6
LJ Thomas	G	32	1-7	0-2	2-2	6	2	1	0	4
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	30	1-2	0-0	2-3	4	2	0	2	4
Donovan Raymond	F	4	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	4
Robert Davis Jr.	G	20	0-6	0-4	3-3	1	0	0	0	3
Scottie Hubbard	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Drew McKenna	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Hall	F	23	7-8	2-2	8-10	6	3	3	0	24
Mark Drone	G	39	5-16	0-2	2-2	7	8	3	0	12
Franck Emmou	G	23	4-5	2-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	12
Robert Fields	C	27	3-6	0-0	3-5	7	2	0	1	9
Kyndall Davis	G	26	2-8	1-5	2-2	6	1	0	0	7
Jalen Bolden	G	20	2-6	2-4	0-0	1	1	3	0	6
Makai Willis	C	14	2-5	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	2	5
Tay Knox	C	10	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	4
Kaden Gumbs	G	17	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Jaelyn Lee	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

92.5Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency92.5

-24.6Net Efficiency24.6

37.7%Effective FG%51.7%

44.8%True Shooting %57.1%

19.9%Turnover Rate11.8%

36.1%Free Throw Rate42.4%

44.3%3-Point Rate27.1%

0.57Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Texas State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.