Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Montana State

53.3%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -114

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 74

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScorePortland State 76

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricPortland State

53.6MMH Power Index50.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency109.3

104.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

9.5Net Efficiency9.1

-3.7Strength of Schedule-5.6

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

68.1Tempo70.1

55.1%Effective FG%51.7%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate36.8%

6.5Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–109.3), net efficiency (9.5–9.1), strength of schedule (-3.7–-5.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–104.9), offensive rebounding (31.6–28.1), free throw rate (36.8–30.7).

Final

Montana State

54—63

Portland State

Portland State by 9 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATPortland State

19-56FG24-53

34.0%FG%45.0%

5-253PT7-19

20.0%3PT%37.0%

11-13FT8-12

85.0%FT%67.0%

33Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds11

6Assists20

13Turnovers14

9Steals10

—Blocks5

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Patrick McMahon	G	38	6-13	0-2	4-5	7	1	0	16
Jeremiah Davis	G	26	6-12	2-3	2-2	2	0	2	16
Jed Miller	G	40	3-14	2-10	4-4	7	2	3	12
Christian King	F	38	2-9	1-6	0-0	6	2	3	5
Chris Hodges	F	31	1-3	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	3
Seth Amunrud	G	16	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	2
Jaden Steppe	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Howie Keene	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	40	9-16	3-5	3-4	6	4	5	1	24
Terri Miller Jr.	F	37	6-14	2-5	2-4	5	3	0	0	16
Kelcy Phipps	G	27	4-5	2-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	10
Jaylin Henderson	G	36	2-9	0-3	1-2	11	8	0	1	5
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	21	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	2	4
Brycen Long	G	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Isaiah Williams	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	1	2
Alex Dupre	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Charles Chukwu	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Brayden Barron	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

87.8Offensive Efficiency102.4

102.4Defensive Efficiency87.8

-14.6Net Efficiency14.6

38.4%Effective FG%51.9%

43.4%True Shooting %53.7%

21.3%Turnover Rate22.7%

23.2%Free Throw Rate22.6%

44.6%3-Point Rate35.8%

0.46Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Portland State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.