Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.2%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13.8%Mississippi Valley State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -625

Mississippi Valley State

3-30

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 83

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 72

Team Comparison

Arkansas-Pine BluffMetricMississippi Valley State

38.7MMH Power Index17.7

106.4Offensive Efficiency91.1

111.6Defensive Efficiency117.8

-5.2Net Efficiency-26.7

-6.0Strength of Schedule-4.1

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.3

72.6Tempo70.5

51.4%Effective FG%45.8%

18.5%Turnover Rate21.8%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

37.7%Free Throw Rate34.5%

-3.8Average Margin-18.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–17.7), offensive efficiency (106.4–91.1), defensive efficiency (111.6–117.8), net efficiency (-5.2–-26.7).

Mississippi Valley State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.1–-6.0).

Final

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

78—70

Mississippi Valley State

Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 8 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffTEAM STATMississippi Valley State

24-53FG23-48

45.0%FG%48.0%

6-153PT2-10

40.0%3PT%20.0%

24-34FT22-28

71.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists14

11Turnovers15

5Steals4

2Blocks4

20Fouls25

Player Box Score

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milhan Charles	G	35	7-10	0-1	8-10	8	5	0	0	22
Quion Williams	G	34	7-15	1-2	4-9	6	5	2	1	19
Trevon Payton	G	36	3-4	2-3	3-3	2	2	1	0	11
Alex Mirhosseini	G	32	3-7	3-6	2-2	2	0	1	0	11
Jaquan Scott	F	23	2-10	0-1	7-8	6	1	0	1	11
Ramel Lloyd Jr.	G	18	1-4	0-1	0-2	4	1	0	0	2
Dennis Asoro	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Ahmad Johnson	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyle Brown	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael James	G	40	9-16	1-3	6-6	4	4	2	0	25
Daniel Mayfield	F	24	5-10	0-2	5-6	7	1	0	1	15
Xzayvion Childress	G	40	2-7	1-3	4-4	6	6	0	0	9
X'Zaevion Barnett	G	36	2-7	0-2	4-5	3	1	1	0	8
Chance Sutton	F	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Tyrone Iroghama	G	11	2-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	4
Mussa Mzein	C	25	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	2	1	0	3
Jonathan Pace	F	5	0-1	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	3	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

109.4Offensive Efficiency98.2

98.2Defensive Efficiency109.4

11.2Net Efficiency-11.2

50.9%Effective FG%50.0%

56.4%True Shooting %57.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate21.0%

64.2%Free Throw Rate58.3%

28.3%3-Point Rate20.8%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.