Rutgers

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Rutgers

68.5%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -217

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRutgers 73

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreUSC 80

Team Comparison

RutgersMetricUSC

45.9MMH Power Index48.3

104.2Offensive Efficiency108.5

112.2Defensive Efficiency107.6

-8.0Net Efficiency0.9

3.9Strength of Schedule2.5

-1.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

67.4Tempo72.4

47.4%Effective FG%50.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.3%Free Throw Rate45.3%

-5.4Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.3–45.9), offensive efficiency (108.5–104.2), defensive efficiency (107.6–112.2), net efficiency (0.9–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.9–2.5), recent form (-1.6–-16.0), ball security (15.0–17.2).

Final

Rutgers

75—78

USC

USC by 3 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RutgersTEAM STATUSC

29-74FG26-51

39.0%FG%51.0%

8-243PT4-12

33.0%3PT%33.0%

9-12FT22-30

75.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds40

17Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists16

8Turnovers17

7Steals6

4Blocks4

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	27	10-19	1-3	5-5	2	5	0	0	26
Dylan Grant	F	32	6-13	1-4	1-2	10	2	0	0	14
Harun Zrno	G	26	3-10	3-8	0-0	4	0	3	0	9
Kaden Powers	G	16	4-8	1-3	0-1	1	0	1	1	9
Lino Mark	G	20	2-7	2-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	6
Chris Nwuli	F	8	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Darren Buchanan Jr.	G	20	0-5	0-0	3-4	1	1	0	0	3
Jamichael Davis	G	21	1-5	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Bryce Dortch	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	16	0-3	0-0	0-0	6	3	2	3	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ezra Ausar	F	34	6-8	0-0	9-11	7	2	1	0	21
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	38	7-15	2-6	1-1	5	3	2	1	17
Jacob Cofie	F	37	6-11	0-2	3-6	10	3	1	3	15
Alijah Arenas	G	19	3-9	2-4	1-2	1	2	0	0	9
Kam Woods	G	38	1-3	0-0	6-8	9	4	1	0	8
Jerry Easter II	G	20	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Terrance Williams II	F	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Gabe Dynes	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ryan Cornish	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

106.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency106.4

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

44.6%Effective FG%54.9%

47.1%True Shooting %59.8%

11.3%Turnover Rate24.2%

16.2%Free Throw Rate58.8%

32.4%3-Point Rate23.5%

1.75Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

USC won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.