New Haven

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.6%New Haven

44.4%Saint Francis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Haven -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL141.6

MODEL MONEYLINENew Haven -125

Saint Francis

7-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Haven 72

Projected Total141.6

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 70

Team Comparison

New HavenMetricSaint Francis

39.3MMH Power Index32.7

101.1Offensive Efficiency101.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency114.7

-2.1Net Efficiency-13.5

-6.8Strength of Schedule-2.3

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.5

64.2Tempo70.6

50.4%Effective FG%49.8%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

23.6%Offensive Rebound %28.4%

31.8%Free Throw Rate31.2%

-1.4Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Haven HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Haven holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.3–32.7), defensive efficiency (103.2–114.7), net efficiency (-2.1–-13.5), recent form (2.7–-10.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.2–101.1), strength of schedule (-2.3–-6.8), offensive rebounding (28.4–23.6).

Final

New Haven

81—69

Saint Francis

New Haven by 12 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New HavenTEAM STATSaint Francis

25-48FG25-56

52.0%FG%45.0%

10-203PT7-21

50.0%3PT%33.0%

21-27FT12-18

78.0%FT%67.0%

32Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists15

10Turnovers10

3Steals6

1Blocks—

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

New Haven

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kheni Briggs	G	32	9-13	5-7	6-6	1	2	0	0	29
Jabri Fitzpatrick	G	34	5-7	2-2	7-10	6	2	1	0	19
Andre Pasha	F	36	4-11	2-6	4-4	6	3	0	1	14
Najimi George	G	34	3-9	0-1	4-6	8	4	1	0	10
Stefano Faloppa	F	31	3-5	1-2	0-1	3	2	0	0	7
Maison Adeleye	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Teshaun Steele	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kyle Kearson	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tristan Burth	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aidan Losiewicz	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ahmad Harrison	G	35	5-16	2-7	4-5	6	2	0	16
Zion Russell	G	28	4-6	2-3	5-7	2	4	4	15
Skylar Wicks	G	31	5-11	2-4	0-0	7	3	1	12
Gestin Liberis	F	29	4-4	0-0	1-2	6	5	0	9
Victor Payne	G	28	3-7	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	7
Chris Moncrief	G	27	2-7	0-2	2-4	2	0	0	6
Paris Papadatos	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2
Cameron Tweedy	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Brandon Russell	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

122.4Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency122.4

18.1Net Efficiency-18.1

62.5%Effective FG%50.9%

66.6%True Shooting %53.4%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.0%

56.3%Free Throw Rate32.1%

41.7%3-Point Rate37.5%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

New Haven won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.