UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.3%UMBC

19.7%UAlbany

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL138.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -408

UAlbany

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 73

Projected Total138.5

Projected ScoreUAlbany 66

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricUAlbany

59.1MMH Power Index41.9

113.0Offensive Efficiency107.9

99.0Defensive Efficiency108.8

14.0Net Efficiency-0.9

-5.6Strength of Schedule-6.1

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

65.5Tempo64.3

54.3%Effective FG%52.8%

14.3%Turnover Rate18.6%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

34.1%Free Throw Rate25.0%

9.1Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–41.9), offensive efficiency (113.0–107.9), defensive efficiency (99.0–108.8), net efficiency (14.0–-0.9).

UAlbany COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.3–25.2).

Final

UMBC

68—65

UAlbany

UMBC by 3 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATUAlbany

20-45FG26-60

44.0%FG%43.0%

6-173PT9-27

35.0%3PT%33.0%

22-27FT4-8

81.0%FT%50.0%

27Rebounds34

5Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists15

9Turnovers13

8Steals8

1Blocks3

10Fouls19

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Valentine	G	34	5-8	2-3	3-4	3	1	1	0	15
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	36	3-10	3-8	4-4	5	4	2	0	13
Caden Diggs	F	24	3-6	0-1	4-6	2	0	1	0	10
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	29	3-7	0-1	3-4	10	2	3	0	9
Cougar Downing	G	15	2-2	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	7
Josh Odunowo	F	19	1-2	0-0	4-5	2	1	1	1	6
Jah'Likai King	G	29	1-6	0-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Riley Jacobs	F	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Paul Greene	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Daylon Dickerson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UAlbany

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Abidde	F	26	8-11	4-7	0-0	4	0	1	1	20
Okechukwu Okeke	F	31	9-11	0-0	1-2	10	0	2	1	19
Amir Lindsey	G	39	3-13	3-9	0-0	1	6	2	0	9
Jaden Kempson	G	40	2-8	1-5	3-4	6	5	2	0	8
Ma'Kye Taylor	F	22	3-7	0-1	0-2	4	4	1	1	6
Miles Rose	G	30	1-5	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Tarique Foster	F	12	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

107.4Offensive Efficiency102.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency107.4

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

51.1%Effective FG%50.8%

58.8%True Shooting %50.9%

14.6%Turnover Rate20.1%

60.0%Free Throw Rate13.3%

37.8%3-Point Rate45.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

UMBC won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.