Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%Murray State

80.6%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL164.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -415

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 77

Projected Total164.8

Projected ScoreBelmont 88

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricBelmont

53.6MMH Power Index61.8

115.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

4.0Net Efficiency14.9

3.5Strength of Schedule-0.2

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

72.3Tempo70.7

54.0%Effective FG%60.7%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.8%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate32.7%

2.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–53.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.0), defensive efficiency (103.7–111.0), net efficiency (14.9–4.0).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.5–-0.2), ball security (16.3–17.8), offensive rebounding (32.7–28.8).

Final

Murray State

86—103

Belmont

Belmont by 17 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATBelmont

29-61FG37-66

48.0%FG%56.0%

6-233PT12-24

26.0%3PT%50.0%

22-26FT17-25

85.0%FT%68.0%

33Rebounds33

16Offensive Rebounds15

11Assists25

13Turnovers8

5Steals7

4Blocks4

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred King	C	25	9-9	0-0	4-4	8	0	0	1	22
Roman Domon	G	30	5-9	0-2	7-10	7	3	1	0	17
Javon Jackson	G	24	4-16	1-7	3-4	3	1	2	0	12
Brayden Shorter	G	20	4-8	2-6	2-2	1	0	0	0	12
Layne Taylor	G	27	2-4	1-2	4-4	1	4	1	0	9
JJ Traynor	F	18	3-7	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	7
Mason Miller	F	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Mathis Courbon	G	16	0-3	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
KJ Tenner	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Brock Vice	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Dylan Anderson	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Lundblade	G	36	8-15	3-10	8-9	1	0	0	0	27
Drew Scharnowski	F	31	7-13	0-0	5-11	11	9	1	2	19
Eoin Dillon	F	27	6-10	3-4	0-0	5	4	0	1	15
Aidan Noyes	F	16	5-6	4-4	1-1	2	1	0	0	15
Jabez Jenkins	G	23	3-5	0-1	3-4	2	1	0	0	9
Jack Smiley	G	26	3-7	1-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	7
Isaiah West	G	20	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	3	3	0	5
Brigham Rogers	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	3	2	1	4
Graydon Lemke	F	1	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Win Miller	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Keith Robbins	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Dykstra	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cooper Haynes	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

121.6Offensive Efficiency145.7

145.7Defensive Efficiency121.6

-24.0Net Efficiency24.0

52.5%Effective FG%65.2%

58.6%True Shooting %66.1%

18.5%Turnover Rate11.3%

42.6%Free Throw Rate37.9%

37.7%3-Point Rate36.4%

0.85Assist / Turnover3.13

Game Summary

Belmont won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.