Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%Cal Poly

48.0%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Riverside -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -108

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 82

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC Riverside

46.5MMH Power Index41.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.1

111.0Defensive Efficiency110.1

-3.8Net Efficiency-7.0

1.7Strength of Schedule0.5

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

76.6Tempo70.7

52.2%Effective FG%49.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.5%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-2.9Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.1), net efficiency (-3.8–-7.0), strength of schedule (1.7–0.5).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.1–111.0), ball security (18.5–19.8).

Final

Cal Poly

94—87

UC Riverside

Cal Poly by 7 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC Riverside

34-64FG31-66

53.0%FG%47.0%

9-263PT8-20

35.0%3PT%40.0%

17-21FT17-26

81.0%FT%65.0%

30Rebounds41

12Offensive Rebounds21

16Assists12

12Turnovers18

9Steals2

—Blocks5

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Hamad Mousa	G	34	10-20	0-5	6-7	6	4	3	26
Peter Bandelj	G	36	4-9	0-4	9-10	5	6	1	17
Austin Goode	F	19	6-7	4-5	0-0	2	1	0	16
Jess Esso Essis	G	21	5-9	2-6	1-2	2	0	0	13
Troy Plumtree	F	12	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	6
Cayden Ward	G	27	2-7	1-2	0-0	5	1	2	5
Jake Davis	G	17	1-4	1-2	1-2	4	1	3	4
Jackson Mosley	PG	3	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	4
Guzman Vasilic	G	28	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	3
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Ali Assran	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Henderson	G	40	17-31	4-12	1-1	5	3	0	2	39
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	36	4-13	1-3	9-14	7	4	1	0	18
Ben Waller	G	31	3-7	1-1	0-0	7	2	0	0	7
Osiris Grady	F	30	2-7	0-0	2-4	7	1	0	1	6
Tyler Jones	G	15	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	21	1-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	1	1	5
De'Undrae Perteete Jr.	G	14	1-2	0-1	2-3	3	2	0	0	4
BJ Kolly	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

125.8Offensive Efficiency116.5

116.5Defensive Efficiency125.8

9.4Net Efficiency-9.4

60.2%Effective FG%53.0%

63.5%True Shooting %55.5%

16.2%Turnover Rate23.9%

32.8%Free Throw Rate39.4%

40.6%3-Point Rate30.3%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.