UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%UC San Diego

53.3%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -114

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 78

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 79

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricCal State Northridge

53.4MMH Power Index50

108.4Offensive Efficiency107.3

100.7Defensive Efficiency105.2

7.7Net Efficiency2.1

-1.3Strength of Schedule-0.6

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

69.8Tempo75.9

53.1%Effective FG%51.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

33.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

5.4Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.3), defensive efficiency (100.7–105.2), net efficiency (7.7–2.1).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.3), offensive rebounding (32.9–26.9), free throw rate (34.7–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

64—81

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 17 • 75.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATCal State Northridge

24-70FG28-62

34.0%FG%45.0%

8-283PT7-21

29.0%3PT%33.0%

8-18FT18-23

44.0%FT%78.0%

35Rebounds48

14Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists21

11Turnovers16

12Steals3

5Blocks5

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hudson Mayes	G	32	5-12	0-1	1-1	8	5	2	0	11
Leo Beath	F	32	4-14	2-6	0-0	7	2	2	1	10
Alex Chaikin	G	32	3-12	2-8	2-5	0	1	1	0	10
Bol Dengdit	F	19	3-5	0-0	3-7	6	1	1	2	9
Tom Beattie	G	33	3-10	2-5	0-0	4	3	3	0	8
Cade Pendleton	F	13	3-6	1-2	0-1	2	3	0	1	7
Aidan Burke	G	12	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Jaden Vance	F	9	1-4	0-2	1-2	1	0	1	1	3
Emanuel Prospere II	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Trap Johnson	G	7	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Ryder Elisaldez	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christopher Cox	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mahmoud Fofana	F	29	8-11	0-0	6-7	10	1	0	1	22
Larry Hughes II	G	26	4-11	3-6	0-0	3	3	1	1	11
Jai Chisolm	G	14	5-7	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	11
Josiah Davis	G	35	3-9	0-1	4-6	9	10	0	0	10
Jordan Brinson	G	20	3-6	2-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	10
Joshua O'Garro	G	32	1-7	0-3	4-6	9	2	0	1	6
Grady Lewis	F	10	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Davius Loury	F	9	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
James Evans Jr.	G	22	0-4	0-1	2-2	1	3	1	1	2
Greg Gazarian	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Robert Thibiant	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joseph Barrio	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.3Possessions75.3

85.0Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency85.0

-22.6Net Efficiency22.6

40.0%Effective FG%50.8%

40.7%True Shooting %55.5%

14.6%Turnover Rate21.4%

25.7%Free Throw Rate37.1%

40.0%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 75.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.