Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Cal State Fullerton

67.5%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -208

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 78

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 84

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC Santa Barbara

49.4MMH Power Index51.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency113.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.1

1.7Net Efficiency7.1

-1.2Strength of Schedule-2.0

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

76.3Tempo68.5

52.6%Effective FG%54.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.7%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

39.6%Free Throw Rate37.9%

1.3Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–108.8), defensive efficiency (106.1–107.1), net efficiency (7.1–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-2.0), recent form (2.7–-1.7), ball security (15.1–18.7).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

69—83

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 14 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

24-55FG29-60

44.0%FG%48.0%

9-233PT11-33

39.0%3PT%33.0%

12-18FT14-17

67.0%FT%82.0%

26Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists21

15Turnovers16

10Steals13

2Blocks2

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Garris	G	14	8-9	2-3	0-1	5	0	1	0	18
Joshua Ward	G	27	3-8	1-2	3-4	2	3	1	0	10
Davis White	G	25	3-6	2-5	2-2	5	0	0	0	10
Christian Williams	G	30	3-10	1-5	1-2	3	2	4	0	8
Bryce Cofield	G	24	3-5	0-0	0-2	3	2	0	0	6
Landon Seaman	F	19	1-3	0-1	4-5	2	0	1	1	6
Bailey Nunn	G	19	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Jaden Henderson	G	21	1-7	1-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	3
Kendrick De Luna	F	21	0-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	1	2

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Shaw	G	26	5-9	1-5	6-7	4	1	3	0	17
Marvin McGhee IV	G	26	5-10	3-6	1-2	9	1	1	1	14
Colin Smith	F	24	5-5	2-2	1-1	3	2	2	0	13
Miro Little	G	27	4-8	1-4	3-3	7	6	1	1	12
Zion Sensley	G	23	4-13	1-7	0-0	10	1	1	0	9
Aidan Mahaney	G	23	3-6	3-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	9
Zachiah Clark	G	7	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	4
Michael Simcoe	F	21	1-3	0-2	1-2	1	3	2	0	3
Hosana Kitenge	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0	2
Koat Keat Tong	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Zuffelato	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

94.0Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency94.0

-19.1Net Efficiency19.1

51.8%Effective FG%57.5%

54.3%True Shooting %61.0%

20.4%Turnover Rate21.9%

32.7%Free Throw Rate28.3%

41.8%3-Point Rate55.0%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.