Montana

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%Montana

56.0%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -127

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana 79

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreSacramento State 80

Team Comparison

MontanaMetricSacramento State

45.4MMH Power Index43

108.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

104.8Defensive Efficiency112.0

3.8Net Efficiency-5.9

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.9

-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

71.2Tempo73.2

56.3%Effective FG%48.5%

19.2%Turnover Rate14.2%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

37.7%Free Throw Rate41.8%

2.7Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.4–43.0), offensive efficiency (108.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–112.0), net efficiency (3.8–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–19.2), offensive rebounding (25.1–21.9).

Final

Montana

79—86

Sacramento State

Sacramento State by 7 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATSacramento State

28-58FG29-59

48.0%FG%49.0%

7-193PT11-24

37.0%3PT%46.0%

16-21FT17-24

76.0%FT%71.0%

38Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists22

16Turnovers10

5Steals11

2Blocks4

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	34	13-16	5-7	0-0	7	0	0	1	31
Money Williams	G	37	8-15	0-2	8-9	4	8	0	0	24
Kenyon Aguino	F	20	2-6	0-0	7-9	4	1	1	0	11
Tyler Thompson	G	33	2-5	2-4	1-2	4	1	2	0	7
Brooklyn Hicks	G	23	1-4	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Connor Dick	G	13	1-2	0-0	0-1	3	0	2	0	2
Amari Jedkins	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Grant Kepley	G	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
Tyler Isaak	G	15	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Trae Taylor	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	39	10-18	4-5	2-7	7	4	5	1	26
Arman Madi	G	30	6-9	4-6	1-1	2	4	1	0	17
Jahni Summers	G	29	7-14	2-8	1-2	1	1	2	0	17
Mikey Williams	G	37	2-7	0-1	10-11	4	8	1	1	14
Shaqir O'Neal	F	21	2-3	1-2	3-3	6	0	1	1	8
Mark Lavrenov	F	21	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Taj Glover	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Romari Robinson	G	8	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Jayden Teat	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

109.4Offensive Efficiency119.1

119.1Defensive Efficiency109.4

-9.7Net Efficiency9.7

54.3%Effective FG%58.5%

58.1%True Shooting %61.1%

22.2%Turnover Rate13.8%

36.2%Free Throw Rate40.7%

32.8%3-Point Rate40.7%

0.94Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.