East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%East Carolina

79.0%Florida Atlantic

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida Atlantic -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida Atlantic -376

Florida Atlantic

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 71

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreFlorida Atlantic 82

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricFlorida Atlantic

44.3MMH Power Index51.6

102.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

110.5Defensive Efficiency104.4

-8.5Net Efficiency6.1

2.6Strength of Schedule-0.9

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.6

70.1Tempo71.2

46.7%Effective FG%52.5%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

40.2%Free Throw Rate33.9%

-5.9Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida Atlantic HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida Atlantic holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.6–44.3), offensive efficiency (110.5–102.0), defensive efficiency (104.4–110.5), net efficiency (6.1–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.6–-0.9), recent form (-1.8–-2.6), offensive rebounding (33.9–32.9).

Final

East Carolina

76—75

Florida Atlantic

East Carolina by 1 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATFlorida Atlantic

26-61FG29-57

43.0%FG%51.0%

8-173PT9-23

47.0%3PT%39.0%

16-22FT8-10

73.0%FT%80.0%

32Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists20

10Turnovers16

10Steals4

2Blocks9

10Fouls17

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	40	11-21	2-4	11-14	9	5	0	1	35
Giovanni Emejuru	C	35	4-7	0-0	4-4	4	0	1	1	12
Demitri Gardner	G	29	4-10	3-4	1-2	5	0	5	0	12
Corey Caulker	G	38	4-12	3-4	0-0	2	6	1	0	11
Luke Davis	F	23	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	4
Isaiah Mbeng	G	18	1-5	0-4	0-2	2	2	2	0	2
Reid Cason	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Vito Perkovic	F	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Eli DeLaurier	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Florida Atlantic

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Elohim	G	30	7-14	3-8	3-4	7	2	1	0	20
Devin Vanterpool	G	34	5-12	4-9	2-2	2	3	2	1	16
Josiah Parker	G	28	6-9	0-0	3-4	5	3	0	1	15
Devin Williams	F	33	6-9	1-1	0-0	9	4	1	4	13
Amar Amkou	G	12	3-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	2	7
Niccolo Moretti	G	21	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	4	0	0	4
Kanaan Carlyle	G	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Xander Pintelon	F	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Vincent Neugebauer	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Yohann Sissoko	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

113.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency113.1

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

49.2%Effective FG%58.8%

53.2%True Shooting %60.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate24.0%

36.1%Free Throw Rate17.5%

27.9%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.