Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Minnesota

40.0%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMinnesota -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMinnesota -150

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 74

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScorePenn State 72

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricPenn State

50.5MMH Power Index42.3

109.1Offensive Efficiency109.2

107.7Defensive Efficiency117.6

1.4Net Efficiency-8.4

3.2Strength of Schedule5.3

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

63.6Tempo67.5

54.1%Effective FG%53.4%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

36.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

0.9Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMinnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.5–42.3), defensive efficiency (107.7–117.6), net efficiency (1.4–-8.4), recent form (-6.6–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–109.1), strength of schedule (5.3–3.2), ball security (15.6–16.5).

Final

Minnesota

75—77

Penn State

Penn State by 2 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATPenn State

27-51FG31-62

53.0%FG%50.0%

7-273PT7-18

26.0%3PT%39.0%

14-17FT8-9

82.0%FT%89.0%

28Rebounds29

8Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists13

12Turnovers10

7Steals8

7Blocks3

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Langston Reynolds	G	32	7-8	2-3	2-3	4	7	2	0	18
Cade Tyson	G	28	3-8	0-4	11-12	5	2	0	0	17
Bobby Durkin	F	37	6-11	4-9	0-0	3	2	0	0	16
Isaac Asuma	G	37	5-10	1-6	1-2	4	3	3	1	12
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	36	4-12	0-5	0-0	7	2	1	2	8
Grayson Grove	F	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	4	4
Kai Shinholster	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddie Dilione V	G	33	11-17	1-4	2-2	5	0	3	1	25
Josh Reed	F	35	6-10	4-5	2-2	4	2	1	0	18
Kayden Mingo	G	37	6-17	1-4	1-2	5	4	2	0	14
Dominick Stewart	G	29	4-9	1-3	3-3	2	3	1	1	12
Melih Tunca	G	32	3-5	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Justin Houser	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Eli Rice	G	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Mason Blackwood	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

117.7Offensive Efficiency120.9

120.9Defensive Efficiency117.7

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

59.8%Effective FG%55.6%

63.5%True Shooting %58.1%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

33.3%Free Throw Rate14.5%

52.9%3-Point Rate29.0%

1.42Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Penn State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.