Florida A&M

14-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%Florida A&M

58.7%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -142

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida A&M 73

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreAlabama State 76

Team Comparison

Florida A&MMetricAlabama State

39.4MMH Power Index38

98.7Offensive Efficiency101.7

105.6Defensive Efficiency107.4

-6.9Net Efficiency-5.7

-3.2Strength of Schedule-6.2

4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

70.6Tempo71.9

49.2%Effective FG%48.2%

21.6%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

38.0%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-4.8Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida A&M HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida A&M holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.4–38.0), defensive efficiency (105.6–107.4), strength of schedule (-3.2–-6.2), recent form (4.5–0.0).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.7–98.7), net efficiency (-5.7–-6.9), ball security (18.2–21.6).

Final

Florida A&M

66—79

Alabama State

Alabama State by 13 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida A&MTEAM STATAlabama State

23-55FG28-59

42.0%FG%47.0%

6-203PT11-25

30.0%3PT%44.0%

14-18FT12-16

78.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists18

17Turnovers17

10Steals10

2Blocks5

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Florida A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Shirley	F	35	8-16	2-3	4-6	6	1	2	0	22
Kaleb Washington	F	23	6-9	1-2	5-6	1	2	2	0	18
Micah Octave	G	34	5-8	2-4	0-0	13	2	4	1	12
Jordan Chatman	G	26	2-8	1-6	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Jaquan Sanders	G	33	1-6	0-5	3-4	2	3	2	0	5
Miles Ndalama	C	27	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Antonio Baker Jr.	G	20	0-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Anthony Knowles	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Byrd	G	30	4-9	1-4	8-8	2	4	4	0	17
Micah Simpson	G	35	5-16	3-9	2-3	5	6	1	0	15
Cameron Palesse	G	29	5-8	2-2	2-3	7	2	0	0	14
Damarien Yates	G	16	6-8	2-2	0-2	2	1	2	0	14
Tyler Mack	G	26	3-7	3-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
Jerquarius Stanback	F	24	4-7	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	5	8
Mario Andrews	C	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
JaSteven Walker	F	26	0-2	0-1	0-0	6	3	0	0	0
R'Chaun King	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

90.9Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency90.9

-17.9Net Efficiency17.9

47.3%Effective FG%56.8%

51.9%True Shooting %59.3%

23.4%Turnover Rate23.4%

32.7%Free Throw Rate27.1%

36.4%3-Point Rate42.4%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.