Nicholls

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.7%Nicholls

56.3%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL141.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -129

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNicholls 69

Projected Total141.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 72

Team Comparison

NichollsMetricNorthwestern State

43.6MMH Power Index41.3

105.3Offensive Efficiency104.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency109.0

-3.7Net Efficiency-5.0

-0.4Strength of Schedule-1.6

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

68.7Tempo63.6

51.0%Effective FG%49.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

35.3%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-2.5Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nicholls HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNicholls holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.3–104.0), net efficiency (-3.7–-5.0), strength of schedule (-0.4–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.2–35.3).

Final

Nicholls

61—58

Northwestern State

Nicholls by 3 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NichollsTEAM STATNorthwestern State

21-55FG19-51

38.0%FG%37.0%

6-183PT4-20

33.0%3PT%20.0%

13-17FT16-20

76.0%FT%80.0%

36Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists11

12Turnovers13

6Steals6

3Blocks3

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Nicholls

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zee Hamoda	G	40	6-16	2-9	2-2	8	3	2	2	16
Jalik Dunkley	G	37	5-9	2-3	2-6	10	1	0	1	14
Jalin Rice	G	36	3-8	0-1	5-5	5	1	1	0	11
Sincere Malone	F	28	4-10	0-0	2-2	4	2	1	0	10
Jaylen Searles	G	21	2-6	1-3	2-2	1	2	0	0	7
Nick Krass	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Grant Sanders	F	23	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	2	0	0
Trae English	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Mubiru	G	29	6-10	2-4	2-2	7	0	2	1	16
Micah Thomas	G	33	4-9	1-3	2-2	4	2	3	0	11
Izzy Miles	G	30	1-7	1-5	8-8	2	2	0	0	11
Willie Williams	F	33	4-4	0-0	0-3	12	4	0	1	8
Kordrick Turner	F	14	3-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	8
CJ Larry	PG	28	1-4	0-0	2-3	1	1	0	0	4
Justin Redmond	G	12	0-6	0-4	0-0	1	2	0	1	0
Landyn Jumawan	G	7	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Moustapha Loum	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chip Brunt	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Omar Adegbola	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

96.4Offensive Efficiency91.6

91.6Defensive Efficiency96.4

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

43.6%Effective FG%41.2%

48.4%True Shooting %47.9%

19.0%Turnover Rate20.5%

30.9%Free Throw Rate39.2%

32.7%3-Point Rate39.2%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Nicholls won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.