Weber State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Weber State

42.7%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL163.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -134

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWeber State 83

Projected Total163.4

Projected ScoreSacramento State 81

Team Comparison

Weber StateMetricSacramento State

50.2MMH Power Index43

113.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

108.2Defensive Efficiency112.0

5.4Net Efficiency-5.9

-3.4Strength of Schedule0.9

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

71.5Tempo73.2

52.6%Effective FG%48.5%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.2%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

38.3%Free Throw Rate41.8%

3.9Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (113.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (108.2–112.0), net efficiency (5.4–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.4), ball security (14.2–15.5), free throw rate (41.8–38.3).

Final

Weber State

90—104

Sacramento State

Sacramento State by 14 • 78.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Weber StateTEAM STATSacramento State

33-70FG32-52

47.0%FG%62.0%

8-263PT12-19

31.0%3PT%63.0%

16-21FT28-36

76.0%FT%78.0%

30Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds6

17Assists21

11Turnovers14

10Steals10

—Blocks3

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tijan Saine Jr.	G	40	8-13	2-5	4-6	1	6	0	22
Nigel Burris	F	30	5-12	2-4	5-7	8	1	0	17
Malek Gomma	F	29	6-10	0-0	4-4	10	1	2	16
Duce Paschal	G	21	3-9	1-5	3-4	2	3	3	10
Edwin Suarez Jr.	F	17	5-8	0-0	0-0	6	4	2	10
Viljami Vartiainen	G	32	3-10	2-8	0-0	0	0	1	8
ArDarius Grayson	G	21	3-8	1-4	0-0	2	2	2	7
Declan Cutler	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
David Hansen	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	39	11-16	3-5	10-13	7	3	3	1	35
Jahni Summers	G	33	8-9	5-6	1-3	2	5	5	1	22
Mark Lavrenov	F	32	4-8	0-0	10-12	9	3	0	0	18
Mikey Williams	G	36	3-8	1-3	4-4	5	3	2	0	11
Shaqir O'Neal	F	18	3-3	2-2	2-2	4	0	0	1	10
Arman Madi	G	28	3-7	1-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	7
Taj Glover	G	13	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	4	0	0	1
Romari Robinson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.1Possessions78.1

115.2Offensive Efficiency133.2

133.2Defensive Efficiency115.2

-17.9Net Efficiency17.9

52.9%Effective FG%73.1%

56.3%True Shooting %75.3%

13.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.0%Free Throw Rate69.2%

37.1%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 78.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.