Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Idaho State

72.9%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -269

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 71

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScorePortland State 80

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricPortland State

45.9MMH Power Index50.2

111.0Offensive Efficiency109.3

113.4Defensive Efficiency100.2

-2.4Net Efficiency9.1

0.2Strength of Schedule-5.6

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

67.1Tempo70.1

52.2%Effective FG%51.7%

16.5%Turnover Rate16.6%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

39.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-1.6Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.0–109.3), strength of schedule (0.2–-5.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.7), ball security (16.5–16.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.2–45.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–113.4), net efficiency (9.1–-2.4).

Final

Idaho State

65—88

Portland State

Portland State by 23 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATPortland State

20-47FG33-59

43.0%FG%56.0%

5-163PT7-15

31.0%3PT%47.0%

20-27FT15-19

74.0%FT%79.0%

34Rebounds25

14Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists12

15Turnovers4

1Steals11

9Blocks2

13Fouls23

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Van De Griend	F	17	5-8	0-0	3-5	4	0	0	2	13
Evan Otten	F	19	4-5	0-0	4-4	3	1	0	4	12
Connor Hollenbeck	F	19	2-6	0-0	6-8	3	1	0	0	10
Lachlan Brewer	G	37	2-7	1-3	2-2	4	1	0	0	7
Jamison Guerra	PG	26	2-5	1-2	1-2	0	5	0	0	6
Gus Etchison	PG	12	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Louis Bond	G	4	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Martin Kheil	G	30	1-6	1-5	1-2	3	0	1	1	4
Cheikh Sow	G	19	1-3	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	2	3
Quin Patterson	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Blake Daberkow	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Landen Birley	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	37	10-18	2-2	8-10	2	7	1	0	30
Terri Miller Jr.	F	26	9-14	2-6	2-3	2	3	3	1	22
Kelcy Phipps	G	22	4-4	1-1	2-2	1	1	3	0	11
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	27	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	6
Brycen Long	G	18	2-4	2-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	6
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	19	1-4	0-1	3-4	1	1	0	0	5
Brayden Barron	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Alex Dupre	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Williams	G	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Charles Chukwu	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colt Ness	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sebastian Tidor	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Samuel Stewart IV	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

105.0Offensive Efficiency142.2

142.2Defensive Efficiency105.0

-37.2Net Efficiency37.2

47.9%Effective FG%61.9%

54.3%True Shooting %64.7%

24.7%Turnover Rate6.3%

57.4%Free Throw Rate32.2%

34.0%3-Point Rate25.4%

0.67Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Portland State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.