Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Southern Illinois

61.7%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -161

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 69

Projected Total143.2

Projected ScoreIllinois State 74

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricIllinois State

54.6MMH Power Index54.3

103.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

98.5Defensive Efficiency101.4

4.9Net Efficiency9.2

1.6Strength of Schedule1.0

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

70.6Tempo67.5

49.5%Effective FG%54.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

32.3%Free Throw Rate32.0%

3.4Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–54.3), defensive efficiency (98.5–101.4), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (7.7–-4.4).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–103.4), net efficiency (9.2–4.9), shooting efficiency (54.3–49.5).

Final

Southern Illinois

54—50

Illinois State

Southern Illinois by 4 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATIllinois State

21-52FG19-60

40.0%FG%32.0%

1-113PT6-22

9.0%3PT%27.0%

11-15FT6-10

73.0%FT%60.0%

41Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists13

15Turnovers12

7Steals6

4Blocks3

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quel'Ron House	G	40	9-16	0-0	4-4	4	2	1	1	22
Rolyns Aligbe	F	29	5-10	1-5	1-2	12	1	0	0	12
Jalen Haynes	G	39	2-7	0-3	4-7	5	4	3	0	8
Davion Sykes	G	31	3-8	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	6
Drew Steffe	G	30	2-6	0-2	0-0	4	3	2	0	4
Prince Aligbe	F	17	0-3	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	1	2
Jorge Moreno	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Max Pikaar	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaheem Webber	C	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Walker	F	22	5-13	1-2	1-2	4	1	0	1	12
Landon Wolf	G	33	4-11	2-6	1-1	4	2	0	0	11
Johnny Kinziger	G	29	4-13	1-6	1-2	5	4	3	0	10
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	25	2-7	1-3	3-4	5	0	1	0	8
Brandon Lieb	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	4
Jack Daugherty	F	13	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Landon Moore	G	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Boden Skunberg	G	19	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Ty Pence	G	18	0-2	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	0
Mason Klabo	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

79.5Offensive Efficiency73.6

73.6Defensive Efficiency79.5

5.9Net Efficiency-5.9

41.3%Effective FG%36.7%

45.7%True Shooting %38.6%

22.3%Turnover Rate17.5%

28.8%Free Throw Rate16.7%

21.2%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.