Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.4%Indiana State

28.6%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -250

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 76

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreEvansville 71

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricEvansville

44.4MMH Power Index31.6

104.7Offensive Efficiency98.5

106.0Defensive Efficiency112.4

-1.3Net Efficiency-13.9

0.1Strength of Schedule1.8

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

70.3Tempo68.0

53.6%Effective FG%50.0%

19.5%Turnover Rate18.9%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

28.8%Free Throw Rate30.8%

-0.9Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–31.6), offensive efficiency (104.7–98.5), defensive efficiency (106.0–112.4), net efficiency (-1.3–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.1), ball security (18.9–19.5), free throw rate (30.8–28.8).

Final

Indiana State

84—63

Evansville

Indiana State by 21 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATEvansville

33-60FG23-54

55.0%FG%43.0%

13-273PT6-22

48.0%3PT%27.0%

5-9FT11-17

56.0%FT%65.0%

37Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds9

28Assists9

9Turnovers10

9Steals3

3Blocks4

20Fouls11

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Markus Harding	C	31	7-11	3-5	1-2	5	0	1	1	18
Enel St. Bernard	F	23	8-10	0-0	2-4	9	0	1	0	18
Sterling Young	G	29	4-10	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	10
Camp Wagner	G	21	3-4	2-3	0-0	4	6	0	0	8
Xavier Hall	G	20	3-5	2-3	0-0	1	5	0	0	8
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	18	2-5	1-1	2-3	4	7	0	0	7
Ian Scott	F	20	2-6	2-4	0-0	2	5	4	1	6
Bruno Alocen	G	25	2-6	0-3	0-0	7	4	2	0	4
Hunter Harding	C	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Sivert Waerstad Nordheim	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Caden Huttenlocker	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cooper Bean	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leif Moeller	G	37	8-14	2-4	4-5	3	4	1	1	22
Bryce Quinet	G	25	4-9	2-4	2-2	2	2	0	0	12
AJ Casey	F	29	5-9	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	10
Kaia Berridge	G	14	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Trent Hundley	F	21	1-3	1-3	1-2	2	1	0	2	4
Connor Turnbull	F	15	1-5	0-1	1-3	7	0	0	1	3
James Dyson-Merwe	F	9	1-1	0-0	1-3	6	0	0	0	3
Joshua Hughes	F	25	1-7	0-4	0-0	3	1	2	0	2
Alex Hemenway	G	25	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

134.0Offensive Efficiency100.5

100.5Defensive Efficiency134.0

33.5Net Efficiency-33.5

65.8%Effective FG%48.1%

65.3%True Shooting %50.7%

14.5%Turnover Rate15.9%

15.0%Free Throw Rate31.5%

45.0%3-Point Rate40.7%

3.11Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.