Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.4%Saint Louis

26.6%Davidson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -276

Davidson

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 79

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreDavidson 72

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricDavidson

66.7MMH Power Index53

120.8Offensive Efficiency109.9

97.6Defensive Efficiency103.7

23.2Net Efficiency6.2

0.3Strength of Schedule0.1

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.6

72.2Tempo65.5

59.9%Effective FG%53.7%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

33.9%Free Throw Rate32.9%

16.8Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–53.0), offensive efficiency (120.8–109.9), defensive efficiency (97.6–103.7), net efficiency (23.2–6.2).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–17.1).

Final

Saint Louis

91—82

Davidson

Saint Louis by 9 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATDavidson

30-59FG28-63

51.0%FG%44.0%

12-273PT10-29

44.0%3PT%34.0%

19-26FT16-21

73.0%FT%76.0%

41Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists14

10Turnovers7

6Steals6

2Blocks5

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brady Dunlap	F	22	6-7	6-6	4-5	5	0	0	0	22
Robbie Avila	C	30	5-14	1-8	6-9	5	6	2	0	17
Amari McCottry	G	27	6-7	1-1	1-2	9	3	2	0	14
Trey Green	G	28	5-9	3-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	13
Dion Brown	G	24	4-7	0-1	0-0	6	3	0	1	8
Ishan Sharma	F	26	1-4	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	5
Kellen Thames	G	13	2-6	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	5
Quentin Jones	G	17	0-4	0-0	4-4	0	2	1	1	4
Paul Otieno	F	13	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	3

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Scovens	G	28	7-10	1-1	2-3	10	3	0	1	17
Parker Friedrichsen	G	30	4-10	3-6	4-4	0	0	1	0	15
Devin Brown	G	22	4-9	3-7	2-3	4	2	0	0	13
Sam Brown	G	30	2-12	1-7	2-2	4	4	1	0	7
Sean Logan	F	20	3-4	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	3	7
Hunter Adam	G	12	2-3	0-1	2-2	2	1	2	1	6
Roberts Blums	G	23	2-9	1-5	0-2	3	3	1	0	5
JaQualon Roberts	F	8	1-2	0-0	3-4	0	0	1	0	5
Nick Coval	G	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Ian Platteeuw	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Manie Joses	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

130.6Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency130.6

12.9Net Efficiency-12.9

61.0%Effective FG%52.4%

63.8%True Shooting %56.2%

14.4%Turnover Rate10.0%

44.1%Free Throw Rate33.3%

45.8%3-Point Rate46.0%

1.60Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.