Nevada

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Nevada

61.7%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -161

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNevada 74

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreBoise State 78

Team Comparison

NevadaMetricBoise State

59.8MMH Power Index59.5

112.4Offensive Efficiency113.9

105.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

6.7Net Efficiency6.8

3.7Strength of Schedule4.2

7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

67.7Tempo68.6

50.2%Effective FG%52.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

46.0%Free Throw Rate42.7%

4.5Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–112.4), net efficiency (6.8–6.7), strength of schedule (4.2–3.7), shooting efficiency (52.7–50.2).

Nevada COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.8–59.5), defensive efficiency (105.7–107.1), recent form (7.8–5.2).

Final

Nevada

87—91

Boise State

Boise State by 4 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NevadaTEAM STATBoise State

32-65FG28-54

49.0%FG%52.0%

10-243PT8-25

42.0%3PT%32.0%

13-19FT27-35

68.0%FT%77.0%

25Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists12

8Turnovers11

5Steals3

1Blocks5

25Fouls17

Player Box Score

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corey Camper Jr.	G	42	14-22	5-10	2-3	4	2	3	0	35
Tayshawn Comer	G	32	9-15	3-6	3-3	2	4	0	0	24
Elijah Price	F	42	6-11	0-1	5-9	9	0	1	0	17
Vaughn Weems	G	39	2-4	2-3	2-2	2	2	0	1	8
Tyler Rolison	G	16	1-5	0-1	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
Chuck Bailey III	G	22	0-4	0-1	1-2	2	2	1	0	1
Kaleb Lowery	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Peyton White	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jeriah Coleman	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amire Robinson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Croley	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Myles Walker	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Andrews	G	35	7-12	2-5	9-10	3	6	0	0	25
Javan Buchanan	F	33	6-11	2-6	9-9	5	2	0	1	23
Dominic Parolin	F	23	5-5	0-0	1-1	9	0	0	1	11
Drew Fielder	C	22	3-4	1-2	2-2	2	0	0	1	9
Andrew Meadow	F	37	2-9	0-3	4-9	1	1	1	0	8
Spencer Ahrens	F	12	2-3	1-1	2-3	1	0	0	2	7
Pearson Carmichael	F	13	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
RJ Keene II	G	32	1-3	1-3	0-1	6	1	2	0	3
Aginaldo Neto	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

117.1Offensive Efficiency122.5

122.5Defensive Efficiency117.1

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

56.9%Effective FG%59.3%

58.8%True Shooting %64.4%

10.7%Turnover Rate14.9%

29.2%Free Throw Rate64.8%

36.9%3-Point Rate46.3%

1.63Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Boise State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.