Indiana

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%Indiana

35.6%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana -181

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana 79

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreUSC 77

Team Comparison

IndianaMetricUSC

58.2MMH Power Index48.3

116.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

107.1Defensive Efficiency107.6

8.9Net Efficiency0.9

5.2Strength of Schedule2.5

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

67.4Tempo72.4

56.0%Effective FG%50.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

35.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

6.0Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.2–48.3), offensive efficiency (116.0–108.5), defensive efficiency (107.1–107.6), net efficiency (8.9–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–26.7), free throw rate (45.3–35.8).

Final

Indiana

75—81

USC

USC by 6 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IndianaTEAM STATUSC

26-63FG25-54

41.0%FG%46.0%

10-353PT6-17

29.0%3PT%35.0%

13-16FT25-31

81.0%FT%81.0%

25Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds11

21Assists14

10Turnovers15

8Steals5

4Blocks8

24Fouls17

Player Box Score

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lamar Wilkerson	G	32	11-20	5-12	6-6	4	1	3	1	33
Sam Alexis	F	21	4-4	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	1	8
Reed Bailey	F	18	2-6	0-0	4-5	0	0	0	1	8
Tayton Conerway	G	10	3-6	0-0	1-3	2	2	1	1	7
Nick Dorn	G	36	2-12	2-12	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Tucker DeVries	F	37	1-9	1-8	2-2	6	5	3	0	5
Conor Enright	G	34	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	8	0	0	3
Trent Sisley	F	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jasai Miles	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alijah Arenas	G	37	9-23	3-9	8-9	6	1	1	1	29
Kam Woods	G	40	6-12	2-4	4-8	6	2	2	1	18
Ezra Ausar	F	30	4-4	0-0	4-5	7	4	1	0	12
Jacob Cofie	F	30	2-3	0-0	5-5	5	5	1	1	9
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	20	3-10	1-4	0-0	3	2	0	1	7
Jerry Easter II	G	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jordan Marsh	G	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Ryan Cornish	G	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	2
Gabe Dynes	C	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	3	0
Jaden Brownell	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Terrance Williams II	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

103.2Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency103.2

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

49.2%Effective FG%51.9%

53.1%True Shooting %58.9%

13.8%Turnover Rate20.6%

25.4%Free Throw Rate57.4%

55.6%3-Point Rate31.5%

2.10Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

USC won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.