UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%UNLV

46.9%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUNLV -113

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 76

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreFresno State 77

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricFresno State

52.8MMH Power Index47.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency104.9

109.6Defensive Efficiency104.9

1.4Net Efficiency0.0

2.7Strength of Schedule1.5

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

71.4Tempo69.4

53.7%Effective FG%51.3%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

41.6%Free Throw Rate35.5%

1.0Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNLV HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNLV holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.8–47.1), offensive efficiency (111.0–104.9), net efficiency (1.4–0.0), strength of schedule (2.7–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–109.6).

Final

UNLV

96—98

Fresno State

Fresno State by 2 • 79.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATFresno State

31-56FG29-49

55.0%FG%59.0%

9-233PT8-15

39.0%3PT%53.0%

25-36FT32-44

69.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds23

12Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists11

19Turnovers15

8Steals6

3Blocks—

35Fouls28

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	32	10-13	4-6	4-4	3	4	1	0	28
Howie Fleming Jr.	G	37	9-12	1-3	4-6	9	4	6	0	23
Kimani Hamilton	F	35	4-9	2-4	4-6	5	2	0	1	14
Issac Williamson	G	35	4-11	1-6	5-8	5	2	0	0	14
Walter Brown	F	20	3-4	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	1	8
Naas Cunningham	F	7	0-1	0-0	4-4	0	1	1	0	4
Al Green	G	13	0-2	0-2	3-4	1	0	0	1	3
Emmanuel Stephen	C	18	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Jacob Bannarbie	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jake Heidbreder	G	39	9-14	4-7	7-9	3	1	2	29
Zaon Collins	G	28	5-11	1-2	5-6	1	3	1	16
DeShawn Gory	F	36	5-11	0-1	5-8	3	1	0	15
Bastien Rieber	G	21	2-3	1-1	10-13	1	4	0	15
Wilson Jacques	C	35	4-4	0-0	2-2	7	1	3	10
David Douglas Jr.	G	25	1-3	1-3	2-4	4	1	0	5
Cameron Faas	G	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	5
Gasper Kocevar	C	3	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	3
Aram Soqui Urbano	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.5Possessions79.5

120.8Offensive Efficiency123.3

123.3Defensive Efficiency120.8

-2.5Net Efficiency2.5

63.4%Effective FG%67.3%

65.7%True Shooting %70.1%

23.7%Turnover Rate19.0%

64.3%Free Throw Rate89.8%

41.1%3-Point Rate30.6%

0.68Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 79.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.