South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%South Alabama

69.4%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL141.0

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -227

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 67

Projected Total141.0

Projected ScoreApp State 74

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricApp State

51.4MMH Power Index54.2

110.3Offensive Efficiency110.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency101.7

6.4Net Efficiency9.2

-3.7Strength of Schedule-4.2

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

67.4Tempo64.9

53.2%Effective FG%51.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.2%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

39.8%Free Throw Rate39.8%

4.3Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–51.4), offensive efficiency (110.9–110.3), defensive efficiency (101.7–103.9), net efficiency (9.2–6.4).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.7–-4.2), shooting efficiency (53.2–51.1), ball security (12.8–15.2).

Final

South Alabama

57—65

App State

App State by 8 • 58.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATApp State

20-54FG21-53

37.0%FG%40.0%

8-213PT11-39

38.0%3PT%28.0%

9-13FT12-18

69.0%FT%67.0%

31Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists12

5Turnovers6

5Steals3

—Blocks2

17Fouls9

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Chaze Harris	G	27	6-11	0-0	5-6	1	6	0	17
Jayden Cooper	G	38	5-13	3-5	3-5	5	1	1	16
Randy Brady	F	30	3-6	2-3	1-2	3	2	0	9
Adam Olsen	F	38	2-14	2-9	0-0	3	2	2	6
John Broom	G	29	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	5
JJ Wheat	G	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	4
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0
Stephen Williams	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Tot	G	39	8-18	7-17	0-0	2	0	1	0	23
Alonzo Dodd	G	38	6-14	2-9	4-7	13	4	1	0	18
Luke Wilson	C	33	4-6	0-0	3-5	11	1	0	2	11
Kasen Jennings	G	38	2-10	1-8	2-2	6	3	0	0	7
Eren Banks	G	32	1-5	1-5	1-2	3	4	1	0	4
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	15	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Chad Moodie	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jacari Brim	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.4Possessions58.4

97.6Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency97.6

-13.7Net Efficiency13.7

44.4%Effective FG%50.0%

47.4%True Shooting %52.8%

8.4%Turnover Rate10.4%

24.1%Free Throw Rate34.0%

38.9%3-Point Rate73.6%

2.60Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

App State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 58.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.