Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Boise State

72.7%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -266

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 81

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricNew Mexico

59.5MMH Power Index63.7

113.9Offensive Efficiency114.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency100.2

6.8Net Efficiency14.6

4.2Strength of Schedule2.0

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

68.6Tempo70.7

52.7%Effective FG%53.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

42.7%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.7Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (114.8–113.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–107.1), net efficiency (14.6–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–2.0), offensive rebounding (33.8–30.5), free throw rate (42.7–36.5).

Final

Boise State

65—84

New Mexico

New Mexico by 19 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

25-57FG31-57

44.0%FG%54.0%

5-243PT7-15

21.0%3PT%47.0%

10-13FT15-15

77.0%FT%100.0%

29Rebounds29

7Offensive Rebounds3

16Assists22

17Turnovers11

7Steals9

4Blocks5

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	34	5-11	1-5	3-5	7	2	2	0	14
Javan Buchanan	F	26	6-10	0-1	2-2	3	0	2	0	14
Julian Bowie	G	24	4-9	1-4	0-0	1	4	0	0	9
Pearson Carmichael	F	7	3-4	2-3	0-1	2	0	0	0	8
Andrew Meadow	F	22	2-5	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	29	2-7	1-4	0-0	4	6	1	0	5
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	15	1-4	0-3	3-3	0	1	0	0	5
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	15	2-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	4	4
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
RJ Keene II	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	3	2	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	32	7-14	0-0	2-2	9	1	2	1	16
Donovan Dent	G	27	6-12	1-2	3-3	1	7	1	2	16
Tru Washington	G	27	5-8	1-1	2-2	2	5	1	1	13
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	32	3-8	1-5	4-4	3	2	1	1	11
Filip Borovicanin	F	29	3-4	1-2	2-2	10	5	4	0	9
CJ Noland	Guard	21	4-5	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Kayde Dotson	G	13	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	5
Jovan Milicevic	F	8	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ibrahima Sacko	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quinton Webb	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

89.4Offensive Efficiency115.5

115.5Defensive Efficiency89.4

-26.1Net Efficiency26.1

48.2%Effective FG%60.5%

51.4%True Shooting %65.5%

23.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

22.8%Free Throw Rate26.3%

42.1%3-Point Rate26.3%

0.94Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.